Monthly Briefing on the World Economic Situation and Prospects, No. 27
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January 2011
Summary:
- A further slowdown in global economic growth is expected
- Developing economies continue to lead the recovery
- There are major downside risks for a gloomier outlook, including too early moves to fiscal austerity, further exchange rate volatility and a renewed widening of the global imbalances
After a year of fragile and uneven recovery, global economic growth started to decelerate on a broad front in mid-2010 and this slowdown is expected to continue into 2011 and 2012. The United Nations baseline forecast for the growth of world gross product (WGP) is 3.1 per cent for 2011 and 3.5 per cent for 2012, which is below the 3.6 per cent estimated for 2010 and the pre-crisis pace of global growth.
Weaknesses in major developed economies continue to drag the global recovery and pose risks for world economic stability in the coming years. The unprecedented scale of the policy measures taken by Governments during the early stage of the crisis has no doubt helped stabilize financial markets and jump-start a recovery, but overcoming the structural problems that led to the crisis and those that were created by it is proving much more challenging and will be a lengthy process.
Download the World Economic Situation and Prospects Monthly Briefing No. 27
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