Prospects of LDCs meeting graduation criteria by 2030

Prospects of Least Developed Countries meeting the graduation criteria by 2030” by Namsuk Kim, published under the CDP Policy Review Series, shows that fourteen countries have been able to meet the criteria for graduation during 2011-2020, only half way to meet the target specified in the Istanbul Programme of Action. Based on historical trends, only 20-24 LDC (44-53% of the total) may meet graduation thresholds by 2030, approaching the targets set out in the Istanbul Programme of Action with a decades’ delay. Optimistic scenarios predict that 27-36 LDCs (60-80% of the total) may meet the graduation criteria by 2030 but this would require an unprecedented pace of progress in all LDC criteria.