Economic Vulnerability and Risk Monitoring

Examples include the impact of a resurgence in the euro area debt crisis; a sharp adjustment in global energy prices; a fiscal stimulus coordinated among the largest economies; migration flows in Europe; conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks; and a slowdown in trend productivity growth. The flexible model platform can be adapted to address a wide range of policy questions.

This section contains technical documents which describe the modelling and technical work of the division. This includes global and macroeconomic models like: the Global Forecasting Framework (GFF), used for globally consistent short-term projections a ...