UNFPA COUNTRY SUPPORT TEAM Office for the South PacificDiscussion Paper No. 20 |
Fertility Patterns of Adolescent and Older Women in Pacific Island Countries: Programming Implications*
William J. House
Adviser on Population Policies and Development Strategies
UNFPA Country Support Team, Suva
and
Ibrahim Nasiru
UNV Health Statistician, UNFPA, Suva
Table of Contents
Introduction
Patterns of Adolescent Fertility in the Pacific Island Countries
Childbearing by Older Women A Forgotten Issue?
Older women: a special target group?
List of Tables
Table 1: Age-Specific Fertility Rates (ASFRs) for 15-19 Year Old Women by Country, for Selected Years.
Table 2: Age Specific Fertility Rates of 15-19 Year Olds for South Pacific Countries and Selected Countries from other Regions (Restricted to data for the 1990s)
Table 3: Percent of 20-24 Year Olds Who Have Borne a Child Before Age 20
Table 4: Absolute Number of Births, and Share of Total Number of Births, Attributable to Adolescents Aged 15-19 in Selected Pacific Island Countries and the World Over Time
Table 5: Age-Specific Fertility Rates for Women Aged 35 and Over
Table 6: Age-Specific Fertility Rates of 15-19, 35-39 and 40-44 Year Olds in Selected Pacific Island Countries and World Regions in the 1990s
Table 7: Absolute Number of Births and Share of Total Number of Births Attributable to Women Aged 35+ in Selected Pacific Island Countries and the World Over Time
| MELANESIA | 1960s |
1970s |
1980s |
1990s |
|
||||
|
55 |
42 |
- |
- |
|
96 |
53 |
- |
- |
|
- |
- |
65 |
54 |
|
69 |
63 |
41 |
77 |
|
- |
142 |
101 |
- |
|
102 |
91 |
60 |
- |
MICRONESIA |
||||
|
- |
90 |
68 |
54 |
|
109 |
76 |
51 |
44 |
|
171 |
155 |
162 |
- |
|
91 |
81 |
53 |
45 |
POLYNESIA |
||||
|
128 |
89 |
83 |
76 |
|
- |
32 |
28 |
281 |
|
- |
17 |
- |
39 |
|
- |
41 |
- |
22 |
|
- |
- |
- |
32 |
The WORLD 1990-95 |
||||
|
- |
- |
- |
60 |
|
- |
- |
- |
136 |
|
- |
- |
- |
45 |
|
- |
- |
- |
27 |
|
- |
- |
- |
79 |
|
- |
- |
- |
60 |
|
- |
- |
- |
28 |
Table 2: Age Specific Fertility Rates of 15-19 Year Olds for South Pacific Countries and Selected Countries from other Regions (Restricted to data for the 1990s)
ASFR for 15-19 Year Olds |
<30 |
30-50 |
51-100 |
100+ |
South Pacific |
Samoa
(22) |
Kiribati
(44) |
Cook
Is. (76) |
|
Sub-Saharan Africa |
Rwanda
(60) |
Burkino
Faso (149) |
||
Asia |
Philippines (50) |
Indonesia
(61) |
Bangladesh
(140) |
|
Latin America/Caribbean |
Bolivia
(94) |
|||
While the overall level of adolescent fertility is best captured by the ASFR for females aged 15-19, the timing of childbearing is better measured by the proportion of women aged 20-24 who have borne a birth by a certain age, say 18, 19 or 20. Very few estimates for the PICs are available and these are compared with recent data for the 1990s for selected countries from around the world and reported in Table 3. While the reference periods are often slightly different, it would seem that the percentage of 20-24 year olds who had borne a child by age 20 were already relatively low in earlier years in the few Pacific island countries for which data are available compared with more recent estimates for other regions of the world.
Alternatively, it may be that raised concern about adolescent fertility reflects concern over a growing proportion of annual total births being attributable to women under the age of 20 years. Indeed, what has happened to the absolute number of births borne by teenagers over time, as well as their contribution or share of the total number of annual births? Patterns of change are reported and the PICs compared with other regions of the world in table 4.
Table 3: Percent of 20-24 Year Olds Who Have Borne a Child Before Age 20
PACIFIC ISLANDS |
% |
||
Papua New Guinea (1996) Vanuatu (1995) Fiji: Fijians
Indians
|
34.6 38.1 30.6 68.5 29.4 |
(1956) (1956) |
|
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA |
|||
Burkino
Faso (1992-93) |
62.4 |
||
ASIA |
|||
Bangladesh
(1993-94) |
66.0 |
||
LATIN AMERICA/CARIBBEAN |
|||
Bolivia
(1993-94) |
37.7 |
||
Table 4: Absolute Number of Births, and Share of Total Number
Absolute Number of Births |
Share of Births to Adolescents in Total Annual Births (%) |
|||||
1970s |
1980s |
1990s |
1970s |
1980s |
1990s |
|
Melanesia
|
- |
2,375 |
2190 |
- |
11 |
11 |
Micronesia
|
303 |
257 |
314 |
10 |
8 |
10 |
Polynesia
|
91 |
93 |
58 |
17 |
20 |
11 |
The World 1990-95
|
11 |
|||||
Table 5: Age-Specific Fertility Rates for Women Aged 35 and Over
1970s |
1980s |
1990s |
|
Melanesia
|
- |
38 |
35 |
Micronesia
|
154 |
170 |
102 |
Polynesia
|
71 |
56 |
- |
Table 6: Age-Specific Fertility Rates of 15-19, 35-39 and 40-44 Year Olds in Selected Pacific Island Countries and World Regions in the 1990s
ASFRs 15-19 Year Olds |
ASFRs 35-39 Year Olds |
ASFRs 40-44 Year Olds |
|
Melanesia
|
54 |
61 |
25 |
Micronesia
|
54 |
153 |
91 |
Polynesia
|
39 |
135 |
39 |
The World
|
60 |
9 |
24 |
Table 7: Absolute Number of Births and Share of Total Number of Births Attributable to Women Aged 35+ in Selected Pacific Island Countries
Absolute Number of Births |
Share of Births to Women 35+ in Total Annual Births (%) |
|||||
1970s |
1980s |
1990s |
1970s |
1980s |
1990s |
|
Melanesia
|
- |
1,957 |
2,362 |
- |
9 |
12 |
Micronesia
|
785 |
639 |
732 |
25 |
19 |
22 |
Polynesia
|
76 |
64 |
371 |
14 |
14 |
71 |
The World 1990-95
|
11 |
|||||
Given that family planning programmes in the past were concentrated on dealing with the Maternal and Child Health (MCH) problems on mothers and their off-spring, an issue arises as to whether the high fertility of older women in the PICs may have been inadequately addressed. Or, perhaps this relatively high fertility is wanted fertility? Where it is unwanted, a strong case can be made for public sector and NGO interventions to address the problems of those women experiencing an "unmet need" for family planning as a group deserving of priority concern. Unmet need is usually defined on the basis of womens responses to survey questions. Those fecund and sexually active women who indicate that they would like to postpone or avoid further childbearing, but also report that neither they nor their partners are using any method of contraception, are said to have an unmet need. The standard formulation has been developed by Charles Westoff (1988a; 1988b) who defined the group with unmet need as all fecund women who are married or living in union thus presumed to be sexually active who are not using any method of contraception but they either do not wish to bear any more children or wish to postpone their next birth for at least two more years. Those who wish to bear no more children are said to have an unmet need for limiting births; those who do not want another child for at least two more years are considered to have an unmet need for spacing births.
Some of the common causes of unmet need include inconvenient or unsatisfactory services, ignorance and lack of information about their fecund state and the need to use reliable contraception and about what services are available, fears of the side effects of contraceptive methods, a lack of long term methods for couples who have completed their family formation, and opposition from husbands and other members of the extended family. Other important reasons include lack of access, high cost and fatalism (Bongaarts and Bruce, 1995).
Obviously, the identification of the nature and characteristics of unmet need can help the family planning programme to better respond to the demands of these women. A programme strategy focusing on such women as a distinct audience and clientele requires a comprehension of the reasons underlying the unmet need; the determination of the size and composition of sub-groups classified according to their socio-economic characteristics; the prioritizing of certain sub-groups which the programme would be capable of reaching; and the design of a strategy to deliver information and services to meet the essential and specific needs of the various sub-groups.
Only two recent surveys are available from the PICs which attempt to gauge the size of the unmet need of women, and then only the unmet need for limiting births. From a 1995 Knowledge, Attitudes and Practice (KAP) survey in Vanuatu, House (1998) estimated that at least 24% of all adult women of childbearing age, and 30% of women with a husband or partner, have an unmet need for contraception for limiting the size of their families because they claim not to want another child but are not using any form of family planning.
Since our concern in this section of the paper is with the status of older women, it is revealing to note that 47% of the 35-49 years age group in Vanuatu are estimated to have an unmet need for family planning. This would suggest about 4,800 ni-Vanuatu women in this age category had an unmet need in 1995. Of course, some of the oldest women in this group may have experienced, or were in the process of experiencing, menopause and would not need contraception. And some, perhaps, were not sexually active. Nevertheless, despite these reservations, we can assert that the unmet need of older women for limiting additional births in Vanuatu is significant and worthy of special consideration by planners, policy makers and donors in the family planning sector.
It is also very revealing to note that over 63% of the older women in Vanuatu with an unmet need for limiting further childbearing have already had five children or more. Evidently, an additional pregnancy especially when they did not want it would place their health and their families socio-economic status in grave danger. The scope for information dissemination and education on family planning is large since 20% of this group have not heard of family planning and only 36% have ever used family planning before.
In contrast, the estimated number of women aged 15-19 in Vanuatu in 1995 was about 7,800, the largest possible female target group for interventions in adolescent reproduction health including IEC and family planning services. Even if as many as one-half of them were sexually active and in need of family planning services, the resulting size of the target group would be exceeded by the number of older women having an unmet need for family planning.
The 1996 DHS in Papua New Guinea generated conceptually similar estimates of the extent of unmet need and demonstrated that the proportion of currently married women not using contraception and wanting no more children increased consistently from 27% for those aged 30-34 to 37% for those aged 35-39, to 47% for those aged 40-44 and to 66% for those aged 45-49. For the group of women aged 35-49 48% had an unmet need for limiting future childbirth, almost the same proportion as in Vanuatu. They would represent just over 27 thousand females in PNG in 1996, a sizeable group of women worthy of special programmes to address their particular service needs.
If these scenarios reflect the situation in many of the other island countries of the Pacific, whereby perhaps 1 in every 2 women between the age of 35 and 49 has no wish to bear another child but, for one reason or another, is not using a method of family planning, there is a sizeable group of women who need to be the focus of interventions by researchers, health authorities and donors but who, at present, receive no special attention and priority and who are overshadowed by the current concern with "adolescent reproductive health".
CONCLUSIONSUsing data from recent Population Censuses, often the only source of reasonably reliable demographic data in the region, this paper has challenged the "conventional wisdom" that adolescent fertility and teenage pregnancy is high and rising in the Pacific island countries. While adolescent fertility still remains high in a few countries, the overall trend over the past 30 years in the majority of countries has been for both a decline in the age-specific fertility rate of 15-19 year olds and for a fall in their share of the total number of annual births. Compared with many of the regions in the world, adolescent fertility in the PICs is certainly not high and, indeed, by some standards might well be considered to be relatively low. This does not deny, however, that adolescent reproductive health, particularly morbidity resulting from reproductive and sexual behaviour, is an important policy issue that should be addressed by government planners, service providers, NGOs and donor agencies, including UNFPA. Nor can we confirm or reject the suggestion that the number of induced abortions by pregnant adolescents has risen in recent years in response to their increased sexual activity and consequent increased rate of pregnancies. Since abortion is illegal in the PICs, other than to save the life of the mother, it is impossible to gauge the extent to which such an illegal activity is taking place.
The paper has concluded by bringing firm evidence to bear on the existence of relatively high fertility among women over the age of 35 in many of the Pacific island countries. Like adolescents, their fertility has declined in recent decades but still is high by world standards and, in the two countries for which data are available, they appear to have a large "unmet need" for family planning services to limited further childbearing.
In conclusion, while applauding the objective of raising the reproductive health status of adolescents, we would appeal to governments, NGOs and donor agencies not to overlook the special reproductive health needs of older women in current and future reproductive health and family planning programmes.
ReferencesBongaarts, J. and Bruce, J., (1995),
"The Causes of Unmet Need for Contraception and the Social Context of Services",
Studies in Family Planning, Vol. 26, No. 2, June
Bongaarts, J. and Cohen, B. (1998), "Introduction and Overview", Studies in
Family Planning, Vol. 29, No. 2, June
Booth, H. (1994) "The Estimation of Levels and Trends in Age at First Marriage in
the Pacific Islands", Australian National University, Working Papers in
Demography No. 45
Fiji Times (1999), Article on Sexually Transmitted Diseases
House, W.J. (1998), "Prospects for Demographic Change in Vanuatu: Results of a KAP
Survey", UNFPA Country Support Team for the South Pacific, Discussion Paper No.
17, December
Katoanga, S.K. (1996), Sectoral Review of Reproductive Health in the Cook Islands,
UNFPA Country Support Team, Suva, mimeographed
Latu, R. (1996) Reproductive Health and Family Planning: Sectoral Review for the Kingdom of Tonga, UNFPA, Suva, mimeographed
National Census Reports, various countries for the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s
Papua New Guinea (1997), Demographic and Health Survey 1996; National Report, National Statistical Office, Port Moresby
Singh, S. (1998), "Adolescent Childbearing in Developing Countries: A Global Review", Studies in Family Planning, Vol. 29, No. 2 June
South Pacific Commission (1997), Population Data Sheet, Noumea
United Nations (1995), World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision, New York
UNICEF (1998), State of Pacific Youth, Suva
UNFPA (1997a), Strategy Development Report: Pacific Region, Suva
UNFPA (1997b), Proposed Projects and Programmes: Recommendation by the Executive Director Assistance to the Pacific Subregion, New York
UNFPA (1998) UNFPA Regional Programme: Reproductive Health Sub-Programme, Suva
UNFPA (1999), Youth-Friendly Adolescent Reproductive Health Services, PMI/99/P01, Suva
Westoff, C.F. (1988a), "Is the KAP-Gap Real", Population and Development Review, Vol. 14, No. 2, June
Westoff, C.F. (1998b), "The Potential Demand for Family Planning: A New Measure of Unmet Need and Estimates for Five Latin American Countries", International Family Planning Perspectives, Vol. 14, No. 2, June
* The authors wish to thank Barney Cohen of the Committee on Population, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., John May of the World Bank, Washington, D.C., Chris McMurray of the Secretariat of the Pacific Community, and Geoff Hayes, UNFPA/ILO Technical Adviser, National Planning Office, Papua New Guinea, and UNFPA Country Support Team colleagues for comments received on an earlier draft. Neither they nor UNFPA should be held accountable for what follows since the views expressed are entirely the responsibility of the authors.
1 The popular press contributes to the growing public concern over supposedly irresponsible teenage sexual behaviour, often in alarmist tones. For example, while teenage pregnancy is believed to be everywhere on the rise, sexually transmitted disease are portrayed to be out of control. At a recent Workshop on Community Education in Fiji, a health official is reported in the Fiji national press to have said "... the rise in the numbers of teenagers contracting sexually transmitted diseases was alarming ... in 1997, 77 percent of Fijians, 16 percent of Indians and 7 percent of others contracted an STD ... (the speaker said) ... there was a need to make people aware that sexually transmitted diseases and teenage pregmnancies were on the rise" (Fiji times, 25 March 1999). Surely, quoting such unbelievable high figures is not the way to enlighten the general public!
2 The estimate for the 1990s for PNG comes from the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) of 1996 while estimates for the earlier years for this country are derived from Censuses of Population.
3 Booth (1994) has reported that both the mean age at marriage and mean age at first birth increased in both Fiji and Kiribati over the period 1946 to 1986.
4 Again, the estimate for 1990 for PNG is derived from the ASFR from the DHS and the number of adolescents reported in the 1990 Population Census.
5 Infant mortality is estimated by the 1996 DHS to be 69 per 1000 live births in PNG (PNG, 1997). While recent estimates are not available, data from the late 1980s and early 1990s suggest that the infant mortality rate remains significant in Solomon Islands (38 in 1986), Vanuatu (45 in 1989), FSM (46 in 1994), Kiribati (65 in 1990), Marshall Islands (63 in 1988) and Tuvalu (51 in 1991-95); see SPC (1997). Estimated rates of maternal mortality are more difficult to measure, particularly in such small populations. However, PNG heads the list in the PICs with an MMR of 370 (PNG, 1997)
6 While data are scare on the characteristics of the subjects of maternal deaths, it is revealing that Cook Islands reported one maternal death during the 1994-1998 and Tuvalu four such deaths between 1993 and 1998. These women were in their 30s at the time of death. Fiji recorded 36 maternal deaths during the period 1995-1998, only 2 of which were adolescents; 14 of the dead were aged at least 30.