UNITED NATIONS POPULATION INFORMATION NETWORK (POPIN)
UN Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs,
with support from the UN Population Fund (UNFPA)

96-01: Population Today, Vol. 24, No. 1, January 1996

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This newsletter is being made available by the Population Information 

Network (POPIN) Gopher/Web site of the United Nations Population 

Division, Department for Economic and Social Information and Policy 

Analysis, in collaboration with the Population Reference Bureau, and with 

funding from the Andrew W. Mellon Foundation.

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                       Population Today

       Monthly newsletter of the Population Reference Bureau

                 January 1996, Vol 24, No. 1





Please note: The graphics that appeared in the printed copy of

Population Today have not been included here. For a complete

copy of Population Today, send $2.00 to Population Reference

Bureau,1875 Connecticut Ave., NW, Suite 520, Washington, D.C.

20009.



In this issue: ** U.S. Ponders Retooling Its Race and Ethnic

Categories for 2000 Census ** Family Planning Choice Still

Lags in Vietnam ** How Many People Can the Earth Support? **

Spotlight on Kenya**





U.S. Ponders Retooling Its Race and Ethnic Categories for 2000

Census



By Susan Kalish



     The O.J. Simpson trial, the Million Man March, and Colin

Powell's almost- candidacy for president have kept race in the

media spotlight. Less well publicized are the research and

analysis that several U.S. government agencies have been doing

since 1993 to fine-tune current race/ethnic categories_in

place since 1977_to reflect the country's increasing

demographic diversity.



     Last August, the Office of Management and Budget

published in the Federal Register suggestions based on public

comment for changing race/ethnic categories. These

alternatives will be tested in the Race and Ethnic Targeted

Test (RAETT) in June 1996. Decisions about the treatment of

race/ethnic categories in the 2000 Census will be made by

mid-1997.



     Several approaches are being researched and tested,

including a "multiracial or biracial" category; a "check more

than one category" as a way to report multiracial identity; a

combined race,  Hispanic-origin, and ancestry question; a

combined "Indian (American) or Alaska Native" category; a

"Native Hawaiian" category; and finally, rearranging the order

in which race and Hispanic-origin questions are asked on the

questionnaire.



     Recent research by the Census Bureau using cognitive

interviews, and the results of a special race/ethnic

supplement to the May 1995 Current Population Survey (CPS) by

the Bureau of Labor Statistics, testify to the complexity of

these issues. Census Bureau interviews confirmed what many

observers have suspected for many years: much of the public

tends to blur the distinctions between "race," "ethnicity,"

and "ancestry."



     The word "ethnicity" seemed particularly baffling to

respondents, but "ancestry and ethnic origin" was a more

respondent-friendly substitute, according to Nampeo McKenney,

the Census Bureau's assistant division chief for Special

Population Statistics.



     "Little things in a question make a difference in how

people respond," said McKenney. For example, researchers found

that more people noticed a multiracial option when it was

placed last on the list.



     U.S. statistical forms traditionally have instructed

people to choose only one racial category, but this policy has

been criticized. Some interracial couples objected that_in

completing public school forms_choosing only one race forces

the family to deny part of a child's heritage.



     It was somewhat surprising, then, that in interviews,

some people with parents of different races did not identify

themselves as multiracial, even when offered a way to do so.

When asked why, they said, "Well, my mother is black and I was

raised by her family," or "I grew up as white." Moreover,

others who had parents of different races simply overlooked

the unfamiliar instruction to "mark one or more boxes."



Naming diversity



     The May 1995 CPS supplement, which surveyed almost

60,000 households by telephone or in person, addressed three

issues: the effect of having a "multiracial" category among

the list of races, the effect of adding "Hispanic" to the list

of racial categories, and the preferences for alternative

terms for racial and ethnic categories.



     The federal statistical system conceptualizes Hispanic

ethnicity and race as distinct concepts_that is, Hispanics may

be of any race.  Many people, however_including Hispanics_tend

to find this practice confusing. In 1990, 10 million people

reported themselves as "other race." Over 95 percent of these

were Hispanics, most of whom statisticians would categorize as

"white."



     Results from the CPS test show how difficult it is to

measure these concepts.  A substantial proportion of Hispanics

told interviewers they preferred to have "Hispanic origin"

included among the racial categories. The proportion in favor

ranged from 61 to 74 percent among the four panels testing

different versions of the CPS supplement.



     But the way Hispanic ethnicity is ascertained had an

important effect. A higher percentage of people identified

themselves as Hispanic when they were asked a separate

question rather than when "Hispanic" was included as a racial

category, according to Clyde Tucker, director of the

Behavioral Science Research Center at the Bureau of Labor

Statistics. Among those who initially identified themselves as

Hispanic in the CPS, over 90 percent again selected "Hispanic"

when separate questions on race and Hispanic origin were

tested in the supplement. When a combined question on

race/Hispanic origin was tested, the proportion dropped to

around 80 percent. Introducing a multiracial category had only

a small effect on these overall percentages (see figure).



     Cuban Americans tended to respond differently to these

choices than did Mexican Americans and other Hispanic groups.

When presented with separate race and Hispanic-origin

questions, 60 to 65 percent of Mexicans, but almost 95 percent

of Cubans, identified themselves as white. When presented with

a combined race and Hispanic-origin question, half of the

Cubans, but only 11 percent of the Mexicans, identified

themselves as white. The combined race/ethnic question

resulted in less than half of Cubans (46 percent), but 84

percent of Mexicans, identifying themselves as Hispanic.



     The differential response of Cubans_who have a

relatively low poverty rate_suggests that adopting a combined

race and Hispanic-origin question might affect the statistical

socioeconomic picture of U.S. Hispanics. It not only could

reduce the proportion of people identifying themselves as

Hispanic, but also increase the proportion of poor people

within the Hispanic group.



     There was not overwhelming agreement on which racial or

ethnic terms to use in collecting data. Of blacks, 44 percent

preferred the term "black," but 28 percent favored African

American and 12 percent the closely related term

"Afro-American." About 50 percent of American Indians

preferred that term, while 37 percent would rather identify

themselves as "Native American." About 58 percent of

Hispanic-origin respondents identified with the term

"Hispanic," but about 12 percent each favored "Latino" or "of

Spanish origin."



     Other suggestions being considered are adding a "Middle

Eastern" category to the list of ethnic designations and

moving Native Hawaiians from the "Asian or Pacific Islander"

to the "Indian (American)" category.





*****



Family Planning Choice Still Lags in Vietnam



By Jeanne Noble



     Research conducted by University of Michigan sociologist

John Knodel_in conjunction with Vietnamese researchers Phan

Thuc Anh, Truong Viet Dung, and Dao Xuan Vinh_is shedding new

light on the reasons behind the low prevalence of oral

contraceptive use among Vietnamese women. Only 2 percent of

currently married women use the pill, according to data from

the 1994 Vietnam Inter-Censal Demographic Survey.



     Knodel's findings suggest that family planning providers

in Vietnam discourage pill use. For example, government

programs use cash payments and other incentives to increase

acceptors of sterilization and the IUD, but not of the pill.

Local family planning supervisors pressure health workers to

reach target numbers of sterilizations and IUD insertions, but

do not set targets for increasing the number of pill users.



     In addition, the majority of providers surveyed believed

certain myths about the pill that might discourage its use.

Only one-third of providers knew that it was not beneficial

for users to take a 1- to 2-month break from the pill every

year, and only 45 percent of providers disagreed with the

scientifically disproved notion that a woman who misses a

single pill runs a high risk of pregnancy. More than 60

percent of providers believed that rural women would not be

able to remember to take the pill daily. However, only 19

percent of Vietnamese women who had ever used the pill

reported such difficulties.



Contraceptive use up; fertility down



     Fertility in Vietnam is declining as contraceptive use

increases. Vietnam's first nationally representative

Demographic and Health Survey (DHS), conducted in 1988, found

that 53 percent of married women of reproductive age were

using some form of contraception, more than 60 percent of whom

relied on the IUD. When modern methods are considered

separately, IUD use accounted for close to 90 percent of all

contraceptive practice. Less than 3 percent of those surveyed

relied on female sterilization and less than 2 percent on male

methods (condoms or vasectomy). Most surprising was the

discovery that oral contraceptives accounted for less than 1

percent of all contraceptive use, contrasting sharply with

countries such as Thailand and Indonesia, where approximately

30 percent of those practicing family planning use the pill.



     Results from the 1994 Vietnam Inter-Censal Demographic

Survey indicate that fertility has continued to decline since

the late 1980s (the total fertility rate, or average number of

children per woman, fell from 4.0 in 1988 to 3.1 in 1994),

accompanied by increased knowledge and use of contraception.

As many as 65 percent of married women of reproductive age now

practice family planning. IUD use is still high, accounting

for half of all contraceptive use, while 33 percent of users

rely on less effective traditional methods, such as periodic

abstinence and withdrawal.



Women's status



     Improvement in women's status is often viewed as

contributing to fertility decline. The status of Vietnamese

women compares favorably with that of women in neighboring

countries. According to the 1995 Human Development Report, 89

percent of Vietnamese women are literate, compared with 76

percent of women in Indonesia and 70 percent in China.

Vietnamese women also hold 18 percent of the seats in the

national legislature, compared with 12 percent in Indonesia

and 4 percent in Thailand.



     Free market reforms may increase gender inequality,

however. Declining subsidies and higher school fees have led

to lower enrollment rates for primary and secondary

school-age children. If parents are forced to choose between

educating their sons or their daughters, observers fear that

many will opt for educating sons, who are expected to provide

financial support to aging parents. Rising health care costs

may also mean that women and girls will be less likely to

receive needed medical treatment than in the past.



Government's role



     The government of Vietnam has supported family planning

activities since the early 1960s. Initially, the family

planning program focused primarily on the health needs of

mothers and infants. Over the past decade, however, the

government's concern with slowing population growth has become

more explicit. In 1988, the government issued a directive

requesting couples to have a maximum of "one or two children."

The same year, it also emphasized individuals' right to use

the family planning method of their choice.



     To date, Vietnam's family planning program has been

based on targets. But if recent government pronouncements on

family planning policy become standard practice, the

Vietnamese program may evolve into one that offers

higher-quality services, including a wider range of

contraceptive options designed to help women meet their

reproductive needs.



*****



How Many People Can the Earth Support?



By Joel E. Cohen



     How many people can the Earth support? This question

crosses the boundaries of academic disciplines in which

experts are trained. The longer we examine it, the more

complicated it becomes. Answers turn on human choices as well

as natural constraints. Markets, laws, social institutions,

technology, war, politics, trade agreements, changes in values

and customs, and natural ecological and geophysical

constraints all play a role in determining the Earth's human

carrying capacity.



     Unfortunately, it is often difficult for people in

different disciplines to talk about global population issues.

Some environmentalists and natural scientists bring a sense of

hard upper limits to discussions of human carrying capacity.

Most demographers and economists do not talk much about

questions of scale_such as factors that determine whether a

population is large or small, and the consequences of large or

small population size. The scale of the human population,

though little treated in conventional demography, is basic to

the questions posed in this article.



Wanted: A balanced view



     Any population question must be considered from four

angles: population dynamics, economics, the natural

environment, and culture (including politics). Many

discussions of population and development leave out

environmental and cultural factors. Many discussions of the

impact of population on the environment leave out economic and

cultural factors.



     The famine in Sudan in 1993 provides a good case study.

First, there was a crop failure, in part as a result of

natural events (in this case, drought), but also in part due

to economic factors (inadequate capital investments to supply

water for irrigation and inadequate markets and transportation

to supply food from other regions). In addition, there was an

important political factor: civil war. The Sudanese government

refused to admit international relief workers, with food

supplies, into the rebel area. Thousands of people starved to

death because of a combination of environmental, economic,

political, and cultural forces. The famine was no proof that

the region had exceeded its carrying capacity in some

biological or environmental sense, because economic and

political factors also played important roles.



How many people?



     Rapid population growth is a modern phenomenon. Before

the industrial revolution, world population doubled at the

rate of once in about 1,650 years. The most recent doubling

occurred in just 40 years. World population has tripled since

1920_during the lifetime of some readers of this article.



     Given this unprecedented growth, some people fear that

the number of Earth's inhabitants will reach or surpass  a

ceiling on human numbers. But what is the carrying capacity of

the Earth? As many as 65 estimates have been published over

the past 350 years. These are graphed along a timeline and on

a logarithmic scale of population size (see Speaking

Graphically, page 6). Also shown are three projections,

prepared by the United Nations, of world population growth

through 2150. Population has entered, and is rapidly moving

deeper into, the zone where the majority of these 65 estimates

of "ceilings" fall.



     One striking feature of the graph is that there has been

no clear increasing or decreasing trend in the upper bounds of

the various estimated "ceilings." Antoni van Leeuwenhoek's

1679 estimate of 13.4 billion is not strikingly different from

the estimates of 7.7 billion by Donella Meadows and her

colleagues in 1992, or the 12 to 14 billion estimate by

Gerhard K. Heilig in 1993. Recent estimates seem to be

diverging, not converging, however. In 1994 alone, five

published estimates ranged from less than 3 billion to more

than 44 billion. If there is a right answer to the question,

"How many people can the Earth support?" then not all of these

answers can be right. In fact, the wide range of estimates

shows the diversity of assumptions that can be made in trying

to answer the question. Here is a sample of some of these

estimates.



On April 25, 1679, in Delft, Holland, Leeuwenhoek recorded

what may be the first estimate of the maximum number of people

the Earth can support. In a letter to the Royal Society of

London, Leeuwenhoek, who invented the microscope, set out to

show that the 150 billion "little animals in the milt of a

cod" greatly exceeded the maximum possible number of people on

the Earth. He estimated the Earth's habitable land area and

assumed that the population density of Holland at that time

was the maximum possible. He came up with a potential total of

13.4 billion human beings on Earth.



     Two centuries later, in 1891, E.G. Ravenstein presented

an estimate before the British Association for the Advancement

of Science in Leeds. Leaving aside the sparsely settled polar

regions, Ravenstein estimated the proportions of each

continent that were "fertile," "steppes," and "desert" and

then applied various maximal population densities to the

different types of land. He came up with a total possible

population of just under 6 billion_a bit higher than world

population is today.



     An estimate by Albrecht Penck, published in the 1924

proceedings of the Prussian Academy of Sciences, set the

highest conceivable number of inhabitants of the Earth at 15.9

billion.



     In 1967, near the high-water mark of the world's

population growth rate, C.T. De Wit calculated how many people

could be fed if photosynthesis_and nothing else_were the

limiting process. De Wit, from the Institute for Biological

and Chemical Research on Field Crops and Herbage in

Wageningen, the Netherlands, concluded that 1,000 billion

people could be supported by the Earth (although not

necessarily live on the planet) if photosynthesis were the

sole constraint.



     Three years later, in 1970, as world population passed

3.6 billion, H.R. Hulett of the Department of Genetics of the

Stanford University Medical School estimated that optimal

world population must be less than 1 billion. He took the

production of food, forest products, and certain nonrenewable

resources as fixed and estimated how many people could consume

those resources at the current American consumption level.



     This difference of more than 1,000-fold between Hulett's

and De Wit's guesstimates testifies to the radically different

approaches and assumptions they used.



     Also in 1967, the Australian economist Colin Clark estimated

the Earth could feed 157 billion people. Clark based his

estimate on climate_making no deductions for poor soils,

mountains, or swamps. His estimates of consumption were based

on two lifestyles, which he characterized as "American" and

"Japanese"_the "Japanese" having lower requirements for meat

and timber.



     In 1974 and 1976, the eminent oceanographer Roger

Revelle published two widely read estimates of how many people

the Earth could feed: one of 38 to 48 billion people and

another of 40 billion people. Revelle's optimism assumed

increases in cereal yields and massive new investments in

irrigation in the developing world. These investments have not

materialized as he anticipated.



     In 1983, the United Nations Fund for Population

Activities (UNFPA) asked the Food and Agricultural

Organization (FAO) and the International Institute for Applied

Systems Analysis (IIASA) to examine the "potential

population-supporting capacities of different regions." The

estimates included many factors but emphasized soil types,

length of growing seasons, and production systems. Researchers

made different estimates for high and low inputs of

technology, power sources, capital, and infrastructure. They

concluded that, in the year 2000, in the developing regions

excluding China, 5.6 billion people could be fed with low

inputs and 33.4 billion with high inputs.



Refining the question



     These various estimates, with their differing

assumptions, illustrate how a seemingly straightforward

question becomes many smaller questions of definition. When we

ask "how many people can the Earth support?" we need to

define:



     How many at what average level of well-being? What type

of diet, transportation, and health infrastructure do we

provide?



     How many with what distribution of material well-being?

It may be easier to support a vast number of poor people and a

few rich than the same number with the same statistical

average of income.



     How many with what technology? The way people grow food,

manufacture goods, and provide services affects the Earth's

carrying capacity.



     How many with what kinds of domestic and international

political institutions? The way countries resolve conflicts_at

home and internationally_makes a huge difference. Organized

violence is wasteful of human life and resources.



     How many with what domestic and international economic

arrangements? Trade enables regions to benefit from

complementary resources in other regions.



     How many with what domestic and international

demographic arrangements? How much do people want fertility to

go up or down?  What will be an average family size? What

structures and supports will be provided for children and

elderly?



     How many with what physical, chemical, and biological

environments? Do people want to live in a world populated by

just humans and wheat (or rice)? How much clean air and water

and wilderness do we want?



     How many with what risk or robustness? How many people

the Earth can support depends on how much risk of natural or

human disaster people want to accept. If you settle in a flood

plain, you must accept a higher risk of catastrophe.



     How many for how long? How fast oil stocks are consumed

matters little if one cares only about the next five years. In

the very long-term, technology can change the definition of

resources, or convert what was once free goods, such as air

and water, into valuable or scarce commodities.



     How many with what values, tastes, and fashions? Do we

eat a vegetarian or meat diet? Wear cotton or polyester

shirts? Commute to work by car, mass transit, or bicycle?

Spend tax money on elementary schools or nursing homes? Values

determine whether we judge our economic well-being by the

average level or the minimum.



     Three basic approaches have been advocated to ease

future tradeoffs among population, economic well-being,

environmental quality, and cultural values. The "bigger pie"

school says: develop more technology. The "fewer forks" school

says: slow, stop, or reverse population growth. The "better

manners" school says: improve the terms under which people

interact (for example, by removing economic irrationalities

and improving governance).



     How many people the Earth can support will be determined

not only by natural constraints but also by human choices. The

choices we and our children have made and will make_about

everything from food and the environment to liberty, styles of

life, and other dearly held values_will in turn influence

which natural constraints will matter.



     Joel E. Cohen is head of the Laboratory of Populations

at Rockefeller University. This article is based on his new

book, How Many People Can the Earth Support? published by W.W.

Norton & Company. Price: $30.00.





*****



Kenya



Population: 28.3 million

Land area: 219,960 square miles

Births: 45 per 1,000

Deaths: 12 per 1,000

Natural increase: 3.3 percent

Total fertility: 5.7 births per woman

Infant deaths: 69 per 1,000 live births

Life expectancy: 54(male)/57(female)

Capital: Nairobi



By Marion Carter



     Kenya, a country four-fifths the size of Texas, is set

in eastern Africa. The population is composed of 43

ethno-linguistic groups. Kiswahili is the official language,

but English is widely understood and spoken.



     Once a British colony, Kenya gained independence in 1963

and became a republic in 1964. The current president, Daniel

Arap Moi, has held that position since 1978.

After independence, the Kenyan economy grew rapidly. However,

the 1980s ushered in recession and debt problems, accompanied

by years of drought, that slowed economic growth.  Because of

Kenya's natural beauty and abundant wildlife, tourism is a

major element of the economy and remains the leading source of

foreign exchange.



     Unemployment is a serious problem in Kenya, where rates

approach 40 percent. About 500,000 people join the work force

each year. The future promises continued strain on employment,

as people under age 15, who make up 49 percent of the

population, start seeking jobs. The estimated GNP per capita

is very low at about $270 in 1993, compared with the

sub-Saharan average of $560 and the world average of $4,500.



     Kenya is a destination for many refugees from

neighboring Ethiopia and Somalia. The UN High Commissioner for

Refugees estimates that 330,000 refugees have arrived in Kenya

since 1990.



     Kenya established the first government-sponsored

population program in sub-Saharan Africa in 1967. Efforts to

make family planning accessible to the entire population,

coupled with improvements in economic development, are

credited with bringing fertility down 30 percent over the past

25 years, from about 8.0 to 5.7 children per woman on average.

This drop in fertility is impressive, given that Kenya once

had the world's highest fertility.



     The contraceptive prevalence rate among married women of

childbearing age rose from about 17 to 33 percent between 1984

and 1993. Significantly, the prevalence rate of modern methods

nearly tripled from 10 to 27 percent in this period.



     Kenya's health care system compares well with other east

African countries. Almost all 1-year-old children are

immunized against tuberculosis, and more than 75 percent are

immunized against DPT, polio, and measles. These rates are

substantially higher than rates for the rest of the region.

Kenya averages one doctor per 20,000 people, which is also

somewhat higher than the rest of the region. Over half of all

births are attended by a doctor, nurse, or midwife.



     AIDS poses a major threat to Kenya's people and economy.

An estimated 1 million Kenyans are infected with HIV, and some

researchers estimate that one of every seven residents of

Nairobi is infected. The effect of AIDS on the Kenyan

population and economy is predicted to be large. According to

an article in International Family Planning Perspectives (June

1995), labor costs in the sugar industry may rise by as much

as 65 percent by the year 2005 due to productivity losses

caused by AIDS-related illnesses. The UN projects that from

1995 to 2005, 171,000 Kenyans will die of AIDS. Life

expectancy is projected at 10 years lower than it would have

been without AIDS (55.2 versus 65.9 years).



     Literacy rates are relatively high in Kenya. About 80

percent of males and 59 percent of females are literate.

Primary school enrollment tops 90 percent for both sexes.



     Mortality rates for children under the age of five have

dropped by over 50 percent since 1960, but still are high.

Almost 1 in 10 children in Kenya die before their fifth

birthday, compared with roughly 1 in 5 in Tanzania.





*****



News and Resources



TV sells in China



     Television is the most important advertising medium in

China, accounting for more than 80 percent of advertising

dollars, according to Market: Asia Pacific. Nationally, 81

percent of households own a TV, but that number is over 95

percent in urban areas. In Beijing in 1993, ownership of color

TV sets was more than one per household (107 for every 100

households). Cable TV is also growing, with more than 600

cable systems licensed by the state. Marlboro, Panasonic TV,

Motorola Pager, and Sharp Viewcan are among the top 10

advertisers in China. [For more information, see "Television

takes the lion's share of advertising dollars in China,"

Market: Asia Pacific, vol. 4, no. 10, Oct. 1995; 607-277-

0934; fax: 607-277-0935.]





Increase access, says AGI



     A woman must use some form of effective contraception

for at least 20 years of her life if she wants to limit her

family size to two children, says a new report by the Alan

Guttmacher Institute (AGI). Women spend one-half to

three-quarters of their childbearing years trying to avoid

pregnancy, according to the report_which also covers the

initiation of sexual relationships, the influence of mass

media, and women's family size aspirations. [Hopes and

Realities Closing the Gap Between Women's Aspirations and

Their Reproductive Experiences. Contact AGI: 212-248-1111.]





Call for abstracts



     The American Academy of Natural Family Planning seeks

abstracts for presentation at its annual meeting, to be held

July 17-20, 1996, in Denver, Colorado. Abstracts must be

received by January 8, 1996. For instructions, contact Joseph

B. Stanford, Chair, AANFP Science and Research Committee,

Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of

Utah, 50 North Medical Drive, Salt Lake City, UT 84132,

801-581- 7234, ext. 342; fax: 801-581-2759.





PRB fellowship and internships



     PRB is accepting applications for three programs for the

1996-97 academic year. The application deadline is February

29, 1996. Decisions will be made by mid-April and notification

given by mail.



     International Programs Fellowship. Starting June or July

1996, these 12-month fellowships are part of PRB's Cooperative

Agreement with the U.S. Agency for International Development

(USAID). The fellows will work at PRB or USAID on population

materials for policymakers in developing countries.



     Academic Year (Nine-Month) Internship. Beginning August

or September 1996, this intern will assist PRB staff on

various projects concerning population-related issues and

public policies.



     Summer (Three-Month) Internship. Starting May or June

1996, this intern will aid PRB staff on domestic and/or

international projects.



     For more information, contact: Internship Program,

Population Reference Bureau, 1875 Connecticut Avenue, NW,

Suite 520, Washington, DC 20009- 5728, 202-483-1100; fax:

202-328-3937; e-mail: popref@igc.apc.org.





AIDS prevention software



     RiskAdvisor, a new interactive software program

developed by PATH for HIV counselors and clients, helps people

assess and change patterns of behavior that could lead to HIV

infection. The program simulates experiences so users can

explore strategies and develop goals for behavior change.

Contact: Andrea Spuck, PATH, 4 Nickerson Street, Seattle, WA

98109, 206-285- 3500; fax: 206-285- 6619; e-mail: aspuck@path.

org.





New books

     Threatened Peoples, Threatened Boarders: World Migration

and U.S. Policy. Michael S. Teitelbaum and Myron Weiner, eds.

New York: W.W. Norton & Company, Inc., 1995. 336 pages. $20.00

cloth. ISBN: 0-393- 03777-0.



     An Introduction to Population. 2nd ed. Helen G.

Daugherty and C.W. Kammeyer. New York: The Guilford Press,

1995. 343 pages. $40.00 cloth. ISBN: 0-89862-616-1.

The Survey Kit. Arlene Fink, ed. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage

Publications, 1995. Nine volumes. $79.95. ISBN:

0-8039-7388-8.



     Nutrition and Evolution. Michael Crawford and David

Marsh. New Canaan, CT: Keats Publishing, Inc. 298 pages.

$15.95 paper. ISBN: 0-87983-657-1.




For further information, please contact: popin@undp.org
POPIN Gopher site: gopher://gopher.undp.org/11/ungophers/popin
POPIN WWW site:http://www.undp.org/popin