- Two decades
into the AIDS epidemic, examples of successful interventions are multiplying
around the world. A number of countries have shown that concerted, comprehensive
HIV/AIDS programmes can stabilize the epidemic, and reverse its advance.
But additional resources are needed to extend successful HIV/AIDS responses
across the world.
- Current estimates
(based in part on the successes of some countries) show that a global
campaign against the epidemic needs US$7-10
billion annually for an effective response in low- and middle-income
countries.
- This level of investment
needs to be spent on HIV/AIDS prevention, care and support programmes
— and that scale of effort will need to be maintained for at least a
decade if the epidemic is to be reversed.
- A third to
one-half of the total resources necessary to turn the epidemic around
could come from domestic (private and public) sources. The balance,
however, will need to come from international sources.
- AIDS-specific
spending from private, national and international sources currently
totals US$1.5-2 billion annually in low- and middle-income countries.
Significant additional funding is therefore needed to mount an effective
global campaign.
- These calculations
are based on analyses of global resource needs done by UNAIDS, theMexican
National Institute of Public Health, the Futures Group International,
the World Bank and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.
- The study indicates
that, as a best estimate, in 2005, US$9.2 billion will be needed to
expand the global HIV/AIDS response to a point where the spread of the
epidemic is reversed and its impact is eased significantly. Rapid increases
in spending to that level must occur over the next five years.
|
A
best estimate of current annual spending and five-year projected
annual costs of expanded HIV/AIDS
prevention, care and support programmes in low- and middle-income
countries (US$)
|
|
|
Current
(2001)
|
Five-year
Projection (2005)
|
|
CARE
& SUPPORT
|
1.0
billion
|
4.4
billion
|
|
PREVENTION
|
0.8
billion
|
4.8
billion
|
|
TOTAL
|
1.8
billion
|
9.2
billion
|
- The calculations
are based on a range of critical interventions and on the real and estimated
capacity of health systems to deliver services.
- About half
the resources are required in sub-Saharan Africa and about one-quarter
in South and South-East Asia.The advanced stage of the epidemic in Africa
means that the bulk (about two-thirds) of the resources needed there
would be devoted to care and support. In Asia, about one-third of the
resources would be targeted at care and support work.
- These estimates
do not include the cost of improving and expanding health and education
infrastructure in developing countries—an important ingredient of a
successful AIDS response. Nor do they include other socio-economic interventions
that are needed, such as programmes that enable children (especially
girls) to complete their schooling, that improve the status of women
and that combat poverty
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