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Population projections

 

Projection methods for integrating population variables into development planning. Module One: Conceptual issues and methods for preparing demographic projections
 
United Nations (1989). Projection methods for integrating population variables into development planning.
Module
One: Conceptual issues and methods for preparing demographic projections. ST/ESA/SER.R/90
.

This Manual is the first volume of a three-part series. It is directed at officials in central planning organizations, planning departments of relevant sectoral ministries and experts at central statistical offices. The manual presents the conceptual basis for integrating demographic variables in planning and provides detailed overviews of the cohort-component method of demographic projections and the headship rate method of household projections, introduces the techniques and discusses data requirements. Module One is related to the other two Modules of the series as well as to Manuals III and VIII.

   
Preface and table of contents (563 KB)
Chapter I. A conceptual framework for development planning (1096 KB)
Chapter II. The cohort component method for making population projections (4373 KB)
Chapter III. The headship rate method for making household projections (1470 KB)
   
Glossary (509 KB)
   

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Related links:
 
Projection methods for integrating population variables into development planning. Module Two: Methods of preparing school enrolment, labour force and employment projections
Projection methods for integrating population variables into development planning. Module Three: Techniques for preparing projections of household and other incomes, household consumption and savings and government consumption and investment
Manual III. Methods for population projections by sex and age
Manual VIII. Methods for projections of urban and rural population
 
 
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