UN Logo
HOME About Contact Meetings Publications Technical Cooperation
United Nations Demographic Manuals On-line

Demographic estimates


Methods for estimating adult mortality
United Nations (2002). Methods for estimating adult mortality. Working Paper No. ESA/P/WP.175.

This Manual is an aid to demographers and population experts to apply indirect methods for estimating adult mortality.  These methods are particularly valuable in the absence of a reliable civil registration system that records deaths and the demographic characteristics of the deceased. Another rationale for indirect methods is provided by the rarity of adult deaths, relative to the size of population at risk. This publication is related to Manuals IV and X.

Preface and table of contents (140 KB)
Introduction (89 KB)
Chapter I. Census survival method (480 KB)
Chapter II. Growth balance methods (487 KB)
Chapter III. The extinct generations method (314 KB)
Chapter IV. Estimates derived from information on survival of parents (1108 KB)
Chapter V. Estimates derived from information on survival of siblings (494 KB)
Annexes (2511 KB)
References (55 KB)  

Download the report (zipped file)

Related links:

Manual IV. Methods of estimating basic demographic measures from incomplete data

Manual X. Indirect techniques for demographic estimation
Copyright © United Nations