POP-TSS-97-3

UNITED NATIONS

Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Population Division

POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT CURRICULAR NEEDS
IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD:
A SYNTHESIS OF QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE FINDINGS

OCTOBER 1997


INDEX

  • Rationale
  • Process


    POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT CURRICULAR NEEDS IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD: A SYNTHESIS OF QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE FINDINGS*

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    * This paper was prepared by C. Stephen Baldwin, TSS Specialist for Training in Population and Development, Population Division, DESA, United Nations, New York, NY 10017, USA (Tel. No. 212-963-8394; Fax No. 212-963-2147; e-mail baldwins@un.org). The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the United Nations.

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    BACKGROUND

    Rationale

    The 1994 Cairo International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) spelled out clearly through its Programme of Action, perhaps for the first time, the full scope of the population and development area. Many practitioners were already somewhat aware of the field's new breadth and depth, previously rather awkwardly fragmented between the "demographic" and "reproductive health/family planning" disciplines. One of ICPD's many positive achievements was to specify what the governments of the world meant altogether by "population", as the end of the twentieth century approached.

    Among the new priority areas of concern formally identified for attention by the world community were: population and the environment; empowerment and status of women; the diversity of family structure/composition; indigenous people; reproductive rights/health, HIV/AIDS/STDs, and human sexuality; gender relations; and primary health care/the health care sector generally. In addition, a new emphasis was placed on children, particularly girls; adolescents; persons with disabilities; indigenous and internally displaced persons; as well as documented and undocumented migrants, refugees, and asylum-seekers.

    Accompanying these new priority areas, and in many cases helping directly to create their new-found urgency, was a secular trend in emphasizing individual people---not as mere targets of programmes and plans, but as their very raisons d'être. To a significant extent, in some regions and countries of the world, this was reflected by a major shift in the way governments operated to provide goods and services to their constituent populations. Both plans and their implementation tended to stem from and focus on the lowest levels of administration, where people actually live and work.

    Since much of this change has occurred in a short time, and since population and development practitioners have become aware that the academic training which had served them no longer appeared entirely matched to the task of serving the new priorities, it was decided to investigate the situation systematically, as a "cutting edge" priority of the author's UN/UNFPA Technical Support Specialist training responsibilities. Specifically, we sought to determine whether the providers of population and development training--at least in the developing world-- were reflecting in their teaching a more, or less, conventional treatment of population and development issues, as they trained current cadres of population and development students. We would measure this from the contents of current population and development curricula, as well as seek the viewpoint of carefully-selected expert practitioners with a familiarity of the situation in each of the developing world's regions.

    This over-all goal was thus further divided into two segments, both based on data collected from the developing countries themselves. The first, which synthesized the views of twenty-nine highly experienced professionals around the developing world, reported its findings at the May, 1996 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (PAA), in a session which was suggested and co-organized by the author, focusing on the population and development training situation world-wide, and not just in developing countries. Following incorporation of the PAA session's feed-back, as well as inclusion of a number of new experts/countries in the study, an expanded version was released in June, 1996 as a UN/DESIPA/Population Division/UNFPA Technical Support Services Report by the author, entitled "Curriculum Needs: Perspectives From Developing Countries".

    Concurrently, a number of leading institutions in every region of the developing world, chosen for their widely-acknowledged reputation for general excellence and experience in providing instruction in the population and development field, provided empirical data (detailed curricula) on this subject, using as a general framework for their responses a questionnaire outline which was included in the initial contact letter. Supplementing these responses was a selection of comparable data available to the author from a companion TSS project, the so-called comprehensive "Handlist" of institutions providing population and development training around the world.

    Accordingly, a total of some fifty institutions' curricula were ultimately examined, both interregionally and from each of the world's major developing regions (Latin America and the Caribbean, Africa, West Asia, and Asia and the Pacific). To repeat: our purpose was to determine, at every level of instruction reviewed (short-term, undergraduate, diploma, certificate, MA, and Ph.D.-level, as and where relevant), the existing balance between "traditional" and "non-traditional" or "new" elements of each curriculum.

    For these purposes, courses considered "traditional" were those which would have been familiar at the time of training to anyone trained in this area over the last approximately two decades (if not longer). Examples included, but were not limited to, the analytical elements and techniques of formal demography and relevant mathematics/statistics, as well as more traditional considerations of: population policy; historical demography; population and development; modeling; data collection/analysis; population theories; mortality/fertility/ migration/nuptiality/ population composition; basic sociology, economics, statistics, geography etc.; and even basic computing/informatics and simple family planning. Since detailed course contents were not always available for examination in this connection, assignment of particular curriculum elements to the respective areas selected was frequently done on the basis of interpreting course titles alone.

    The results of this study, in turn, were released through the author's September, 1996 Technical Support Services Report entitled "Population and Development Curricula: A Selective Developing Country Review".**

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    ** A limited number of copies of both of these publications can be obtained from the author, on request; please address C. Stephen Baldwin, TSS Specialist in Training for Population and Development, Population Division, Department for Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), United Nations Secretariat, DC2-2070, New York, N.Y. 10017, USA (Telephone No. 212-963-8394; Fax No. 212-963-2638 or 963-2147; cc:mail <baldwins@UN.org>on the Internet).

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    Process

    This paper is a final step in the process of determining the present state of the developing regions' institutional training in the population and development field. It compares and synthesizes the results of the preceding two investigations--first qualitative judgments, then quantitative findings--in order 1) to arrive at a more definitive and reliable basis from which, 2), to make some suggestions which developing countries may wish to consider in addressing their own often widely differing population and development curriculum situations. Accordingly, the next section of this paper compares and contrasts the two investigations' findings globally; in the Latin America and Caribbean region; in Africa; West Asia; and, finally, in Asia and the Pacific.

    GLOBAL

    Fortunately, our sole expert respondent for global programmes is also centrally responsible for the global UNFPA training programme which provided us the greatest amount of hard curricular data (the balance coming from the only interregional training institution providing population and development training, the Cairo Demographic Center, or CDC). Not surprisingly, therefore, the assertion that "The Population Fund's approach to providing training in the Population and Development...area in the various developing regions of the world---Latin America, Asia, and Africa, to date---is characterized by a flexibility which reflects both the rapidly changing nature of the field and the widely differing needs of different areas; as well as by an effort to 'assure that each course includes an essential core of theoretical and methodological subjects which would afford students better understanding of P&D interrelationships'"1/ is fully borne out by examining the curricula involved.

    Regarding the 'essential core' approach and "...the nature of 'traditional' courses offered everywhere in the Global Programme, ...very much the same kinds of material is offered, and that (too) is...(un)surprising, given the fact that this programme is, after all, centrally coordinated and sponsored and that it deals with the same subject-matter and the same kinds of people regardless of the areas from which they are drawn...(T)he operating rationale is that a certain amount of basic population/equipment knowledge and tools has to be provided to participants regardless of the countries and regions from which they come, and the differences therein, before material more accurately reflecting topical conditions and challenges in the individual countries can be presented. This is...borne out by the kinds of courses found: introductions to demographic analysis, to population projections, basic mathematics and statistics, population theories and policies, and computing."2/ (Thus it may be wrong to conclude, as we did on the basis of the earlier qualitative assessment, that "the Fund's 9-month post-graduate diploma training programmes appear to have more in common their target audience...than their curricula" 3/.)

    As for the programmes' alleged 'flexibility' and the fact that they have "'...undergone an ongoing monitoring and evaluation process that resulted in significant changes in terms of course content and structure, scope and coverage, training approach and teaching methods' since (their) establishment"4/, most interesting to note here, after examining the actual curricula involved, is the geographical---even regional---nature of the major differences found. In Africa, on one hand, the programme previously provided by ISS in the Netherlands and now given at the University of Botswana, reveals a curriculum which is heavily traditional: 10 traditional to 3 non-traditional courses provided. And, on the other, the INSEA, Morocco offers only a single traditional course, while its predecessor, at the University of Louvain, in Belgium, offered none at all. For the rest, there also seems to be a distinct 'Latin American' bias in favour of the non-traditional, with the ratio of traditional to non-traditional courses previously taught at CELADE, Santiago standing at 7 to 10, and for its inheritor, the University of Chile, 6-14.

    With respect to the content of global non-traditional courses, in general "... there are two distinct kinds of 'non-traditional' courses provided, and the differences conform to regional i.e. geographical differences that popular wisdom has long recognized. On the one hand, there is a 'Latin American' emphasis on people to be noted---an emphasis that includes gender, culture, socio/economic/political change, and equity; all without prejudice to the finer points of the population/development formulation, such as population and environment, health, education, employment, and urban development. For the rest, the emphasis tends to be almost exclusively on these 'finer points' of population and development themselves, with particular emphasis on the development axis---geographical levels of development, strategies, and with respect to particular developmental aspects such as the environment, agriculture, food, resources, energy, health, basic needs etc." 2"Curriculum Needs....", p. 4.5/

    As for the other global programme examined, that of the interregional UN/UNFPA-supported Cairo Demographic Center (CDC), the various course offerings tend to follow a pattern which will become more familiar as we progress through our examination of curricula in other regions: at lower levels, where students for the most part receive their first formal training in the population and development area, there is a heavy emphasis on the traditional, presumably in order to provide the basic tools required by any student, both to function as a population specialist and to be able to deal effectively with less traditional courses later on. In the CDC case, these do in fact follow as a gradually increasing proportion of over-all higher level programmes: first, the Special Diploma and, thereafter, the Graduate Diploma in Population and Sustainable Development. In the latter, in fact, we find that "... the specifics and complexities of population interrelationships with aspects of over-all human development---resources and environment, women, migration and regional planning, social policies etc---can be and are explored, in courses such as Women Issues in Development: Gender Focus; Population, Resources, & Environment; Population Dynamics & Development Planning; and even, on the outer edge of the population/development construct itself, Development Strategies and Policies and Communication & Development." 6/ (Our emphasis).

    LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

    The over-all qualitative assessment of this region as a region emphasized its diversity. Within this diversity, a continuum of countries was recognized, running from "...those to be found in Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, and possibly Cuba, where resources tend to be comparatively plentiful; training programmes are many, varied, and relatively well-established; and where, as a consequence, there is already considerable variety in individual programmes, and differing needs of the field are met more on an individual institutional basis than by efforts to capture all perceived needs in a single programme...(to) the other end of the spectrum, exemplified by Honduras... and the Dominican Republic, (where there) is a situation of greater flux and ambivalence, brought about by a combination of scarcer resources, less institutional commitment and thus fewer programmes; greater corresponding dependence on outside resources and priorities; and a more urgent felt need to respond to all current demands for training in a single programme...Somewhere in the middle of this country spectrum can be found a number of relatively very new programmes, as in Chile and Costa Rica; efforts to establish new programmes, as yet unsuccessful, after old graduate specialization programmes ended (Colombia and Peru) as well as similar efforts to establish new programmes (Ecuador and Panama); and a few sporadically reviving training and research programmes about which not much is yet known, as in Bolivia and Paraguay."7/

    For the present, and presumably even more in the future, a region-wide shift in priorities to "improving the lot of individuals, rather than on meeting numerical targets"8/ 5, accompanied by increasingly decentralized planning and development, and a related emphasis on social programming and more focused social polices; implies more graduate-level training which will simultaneously equip students to "adapt(ed) to...market requirements" and "perform competent population projections at the various geographic and sectoral levels increasingly required, as well as analyses of the causes/consequences of major demographic phenomena such as migration, fertility, and mortality." 9/

    With regard to the 'country spectrum' in the region which was stipulated in our initial qualitative assessment, based on experts' views, we find more than enough country-level data to justify the existence and nature of such a continuum. As mentioned above, at one end there is the "considerable variety" to be found in countries where there are comparatively many training programmes and where the pressure of competition often leads individual institutions in different ways, as each interprets the competition in providing effective attractions for their share of the over-all 'market'.

    Thus, the extensive descriptive treatment of Brazil's CEDEPLAR programme, which concludes that this institution, under pressure from others in the country "focusing more on the social sciences"10/ (i.e. with substantially more non-traditional curricula), is providing "'training in quantitative methods...(as) an academic 'niche' in which further investment is required'...a niche which CEDEPLAR has both the competence, in terms of staff strength, and impetus, in terms of the competitive factors just mentioned, to fill." 11/ On closer examination of this institution's MA and Ph.D. curricula, we find that there is an even balance between the traditional and non-traditional at the Masters level, but at the Doctorate the ratio is even higher: 18 to 7.

    Two Argentinean institutions, the University of Lujan and the University Nacional de Cordoba, lean even further in the direction of the traditional, with balances of 11-1 and 13-4, traditional to non-traditional, respectively; while two of the four Mexican institutions examined, the Universidad Autonoma de Zacatecas and the Universidad Autonoma del Estado de Hidalgo, are found with ratios respectively of 12-3 and 17-0. The two remaining programmes in Mexico are increasingly non-traditional over-all: 13-9 for El Colegio de la Frontera Norte, and 11-23 for the FLACSO programme. As explained at length in our initial examination, the UDIP Programme at the Faculty of Economics of the National Autonomous University of Honduras has been through a series of difficult changes; in its latest incarnation "...the previous one-year graduate programme is likely in the near future to be replaced...by one which reduces emphasis on formal demographic techniques...provides more social science theory...(and) offers 'more training in the formulation and evaluation of social projects and programs...."12/ (emphasis supplied). Finally, the two planned programmes at the Universidad Mayor de San Simon, in Bolivia, will also be heavily non-traditional in content.

    The quantitative analysis of curricular data thus seems, in general, to bear out the experts' more qualitative (but also based on a thorough knowledge of the regions' academic programmes in this area) judgments, roughly to the effect that newer programmes, as well as those which find themselves alone in providing population/development training in a particular country, will be more non-traditional in nature. In addition, in countries with many programmes, these will tend to be varied in content and thus in their traditional to non-traditional course ratios, as each place seeks to carve out a share of the potential 'market' of persons wishing to work in the broad population and development field.

    Thus the original investigation's conclusion seems borne out by the second study's data--- that both present and, especially, future needs in the region will be for a variety of programmes, reflecting a complex of market requirements including that for 'lifetime learning', intensive exposure-type training for professionals in other fields, and more traditional offerings for 'bread-and-butter' demographers. Also supporting, with particular regard to its examination of the non-traditional courses themselves, is the finding that their " 'fine-tuning'... is not only with respect to aspects of the population variable----the demographic processes as well as society itself and social change, even the State itself---but also many different aspects of human development, involving the social sciences generally, with special emphasis on history, sociology and economics, and, often in extended detail, on labour force, resources, environment, and health." 13/

    AFRICA

    At the regional level in Africa a number of institutions are working in the population and development training area. The two most dominant in terms of size, length of experience, and staff depth, are the UN/UNFPA-supported IFORD, for Francophone Africa, located in the Cameroon; and its Anglophone counterpart RIPS, located in Ghana. While many look to these as well as other, more recent and smaller regional/subregional institutions (like the PHRDA/IDEP programme in Senegal) to provide leadership and assistance to the region's country-level programmes, and there is even "...some sense, particularly among such major donors as the Population Fund, that graduate-level training in the field should be concentrated at the regional/sub-regional level, to maximize the application of limited resources available for training in this area, there is no clear consensus (yet) on such a strategy in the region." 14/

    Furthermore, the qualitative assessment of IFORD's programme in the first investigation as well as the detailed analysis of the RIPS programme conducted separately by its own Acting Director, another informant, and the author (in the second study); suggest that while both institutions have made commendable steps in the direction of incorporating more of the 'new" population and development priorities into their respective curricula, this has not yet been sufficiently successful to qualify either of them, without considerably more input and authoritative, sanctioned change in any particular substantive direction(s), to fill the roles expected of them by country-level institutions.

    IFORD, for instance, was "(v)ery traditionally oriented during its initial years, up to about 1984...(and while its) curriculum expanded the burgeoning P&D orientation begun around 1984 and attracted students from a broader background and with an interest in interdisciplinary research" 15/, it is generally regarded as still being primarily oriented, in terms of students and thus the content of its curriculum, towards "...French-speaking African statisticians who then serve(d) in various capacities in government census and statistical offices."16/ Ibid

    As for RIPS, our own analysis reveals that, in its current Masters curriculum, there are 24 traditional to only 5 non-traditional courses to be found. One expert respondent characterizes recent (after the 1993/94 academic session) changes as including "...new or newly-emphasized areas in the curriculum (such as) kinship/family/cultural diversity; gender issues in the African developmental context; more economics; 'beefed-up' treatment of human reproductivity, genetics, and fertility regulation; family formation and status of women; population policies and programmes; and reproductive and family health". Ibid; p. 14 17/ On the other hand, its own Acting Director concludes that present "...areas of inadequate/incomplete attention include: sustainability of economic growth; poverty; need for more male treatment in gender courses; and need for more concentration on: the family; indigenous peoples and persons with disabilities; human sexuality; the reproductive health needs of adolescents; internally displaced persons; migration more from the perspective of ICPD recommendations vis-a-vis documented and undocumented migrants, refugees, asylum-seekers, displaced persons etc.; and more and better IEC." Ibid18/

    Insofar as country programmes in Francophone Africa are concerned, the fact that we were unable even to obtain sample curricula from Francophone programmes, except for one from North Africa (the University of Oran's Institute of Demography, in Algeria), tends to bear out our expert respondent's judgment that French-speaking Sub-Saharan African Countries (FSSAC) are "...still primarily dependent on developed country institutions for population training at the MA and Ph.D. levels. An important exception to this is (or was) the large and well-developed programme at the University of Kinshasa, in Zaire, which only a few years ago contained perhaps the largest single aggregation of population-trained Ph.D.s in all of Africa, but which has fallen upon difficult times recently due to the critical internal situation of Zaire." 19/ The University of Oran programme is also traditional in nature at both the undergraduate (3-1, traditional to non-traditional) and Masters (18-2) levels, with only its Diploma-level curriculum balanced between the traditional and the non-traditional. A proposed DEA-level course in Dakar does "...contain(s) strong elements of post-ICPD relevance, including: one course on project preparation, two on Women and Development; one on the psychology of reproduction and contraceptive technology; one on health and sexually- and fertility-linked risks; one on maternal and infant health, two courses on fertility which stress social, cultural and economic determinants; one on family planning; one on youth; one on IEC; and six separate courses on various aspects of the interactions between population and development policies. (But) (a)t last reading, the project had been delayed and is now likely to see life as a Senegalese rather than sub-regional undertaking." Ibid20/

    Thus the earlier conclusion seems to be borne out, namely that the "French tradition of training in this area has been rigorously quantitative and concentrated more on the direct needs of statistical and census units, rather than on the individual set of concerns and questions that have come to particular prominence since ICPD, in English-speaking Africa...(and) (a)t the country level in Francophone Africa,...in particular for the coastal area countries of Senegal, Cote d'Ivoire, Benin, Togo and Cameroon, (where) population training is primarily provided 'not as "P&D" training courses but as parts of curricula in sociology, geography, economics and sometimes medicine.' (Locoh, 1996: 3)."21/ Ibid; p. 21

    As for Anglophone sub-Saharan Africa, the situation reported in our earlier analysis seems well-documented by our examination of various levels' curricula in ten countries, namely that:

    "'Between 1965 and 1966 only 15 African universities taught demography and statistics. Today, most Universities offer courses in population studies/demography... at the undergraduate and graduate levels for local students as well as students in the entire sub-Saharan African' region (Addo, 1996; emphasis supplied). Many of these programmes, particularly those that have been supported by the United Nations system---as in Botswana, Ethiopia, Kenya, Lesotho, Liberia, Malawi, Nigeria, the Sudan, Swaziland, Tanzania, Uganda, and Zimbabwe---provide 'contact'-style undergraduate introductions to population, at a general review level, in a variety of departments and faculties, both inside and outside the social sciences. Some, as in Malawi, Lesotho, and Swaziland, provide actual majors or double major programmes in population, while a smaller number, as in Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, the Sudan, Tanzania, and Uganda, add to such programmes full-fledged Master's and even burgeoning Ph.D. programmes...From the curricular viewpoint, most programmes are still in an understandably early stage of reacting to the areas highlighted by the ICPD et seq population-relevant recommendations and strategies...(and) with few exceptions the courses offered reflect a fairly traditional, if not conventional, view..'The dominant pattern is that...demography course contents have tended to give more prominence to technical demography. Yet discussions of world population problems fall squarely within the realms of substantive demography with all its social, economic and cultural underpinnings' (emphasis supplied)." 22/

    At the undergraduate level in Anglophone Africa, unlike the situation in most of the rest of the developed and developing world, a substantial amount of training in the population and development field still takes place. The author examined six curricula, while one additional curriculum, for the University of Ghana, was reported on in the prior paper, based on descriptions from an expert informant. The courses at this first level of serious and systematic exposure to population/development concepts and techniques largely stress the traditional. The traditional/non-traditional ratio of courses ranges all the way from the entirely traditional (two institutions) through 6 to 1, 3 to 1, and, exceptionally, 1-3. In addition, the courses at the University of Ghana are reported to have remained virtually constant in content for those that are more technical/statistically based, while "...social and particularly micro-level issues increasingly dominate the focus of both undergraduate and graduate population training." Ibid; p. 17 23/

    The situation at the Diploma and Certificate levels is quite similar: the University of Nairobi (possibly because it is one of the oldest and best-developed programmes) has an even course balance between traditional and non-traditional, while the remaining three institutions provide curricula which are entirely traditional, at the Diploma level, as does one of the three (the University of Sierra Leone) and one other (the University of Botswana), in the Certificate curriculum.

    Finally, at the Masters level, we find the same pattern of traditional courses' dominance. Only the University of Nigeria, Nsukka was found to have a primarily (in fact, wholly) non-traditional curriculum, with a ratio of 0-6, traditional to non-traditional courses. This is followed "...by the University of Botswana's proposed course, at 12-5, Addis Ababa University (12-4), RIPS (24-5), Makerere University (13-2)..., the University of Nairobi (8-1), the University of Oran (18-2); and the entirely traditional offerings of the Universities of Pretoria (4-0) and Zimbabwe (7-0)." 24/

    There is an important footnote to be added with regard to curricula at all levels, but especially at the Masters, provided by the Institute of Statistics and Applied Economics' (ISAE) Department of Population Studies, at Makerere University in Uganda. Based on a comprehensive one-year process (which will be described in greater detail later in this paper) of first assessing, then responding to, the nature of present-day demand for persons trained in population/development, revised Postgraduate Diploma and M.A. in Demography programmes were drawn up in detail, containing at least a dozen non-traditional courses. It bears emphasizing that the need for persons trained inter alia in these areas was not discovered in a theoretical fashion, based on some demographer's best guess, post-ICPD, of what would be useful in Uganda. On the contrary, while trained population scientists were involved in drawing up the suggested new curriculum, and also in the process of assessing needs which preceded this, it was responses from Government of Uganda population personnel at all levels; foreign and domestic NGOs involved in population work; and former students that gave initial impetus and shape to the proposed course 'translations' that followed.

    For the future, there are many serious constraints to effecting change in sub-Saharan Africa, including: scarce resources; short supply of well-trained professionals and, especially, professionals qualified to teach; scarce opportunities for short-term retooling/updating of teachers; scarcity of appropriate materials for teaching; and, related to the teaching crisis, low funding/low priority of research, utilizing local data which could and should be incorporated directly into the training process. "This latter, combined with the absence of funds for textbooks even from the outside world, and the minimal efforts currently being invested in developing new curricular materials based on African data, tends to emphasize even more the already existing drift towards staleness in curricular content." 25/

    WEST ASIA

    At the undergraduate level in this region our qualitative assessment highlighted the (then) planned University of Jordan double major programme's inclusion of a number of non-traditional courses. The actual curriculum contained 8 required, 5 elective, and possibly 3 ancillary traditional courses and 12 required, 5 elective, and at least 2 (Population, Food and Environment and The Fiqh of Personal Statute) non-traditional ones; for a remarkable over-all ratio of approximately 16-19, traditional to non-traditional. Unfortunately, we have no actual curricula from the other BA-level programmes in the region in the Sudan (Universities of Khartoum and Gezira) and Morocco (INSEA), but if they are indeed, as characterized qualitatively by our expert informant, mostly "'one or two courses...within the context of first degree programmes' in disciplines such as 'statistics, sociology, economics, anthropology, and geography'"26/ ; it would seem reasonable, based on what we have observed in other regions, and for similar reasons, to conclude that these courses are also quite traditional in nature. In the event, the one other example which we do have, from Egypt's Institute of Arab Research and Studies, has 4 wholly traditional courses.

    At the Diploma level we have no judgments at the qualitative level and only a single actual curriculum sample to examine at the quantitative---presumably because there are as yet few, if any, such programmes in this region. As for the single programme known to us, that of Lebanese University, its "...two programmes---one a Specialization in Demography, the other a Demographic Expert Diploma---are respectively 5-3 and 3-1 traditional/non-traditional in character; not much can be concluded from this...except to note that, once again, significant elements of the non-traditional are to be found at the 'specialization' level, as might be expected." 27/

    Finally, at the Masters level , the qualitative expert judgment was that "(t)raining...is 'more diversified and complex'"28/ , but for the most part programmes "follow 'a conventional approach' concentrating on 'the study of formal demography'". 29/ Actual results of examining the curricula concerned are worth reporting in their original form:

    "At the MA level, two programmes are relatively non-traditional in nature. That offered by the University of Jordan, with 5 required and 4 elective traditional courses and 4 non-traditional electives (thus 9-4 overall) seems more nearly like the emerging, notional international "norm" in terms of balance, while the Haceteppe University programme in Turkey (and for that matter its Ph.D. courses, for which we have details---5 required + 3 elective traditional courses vs. a required workshop and 3 elective non-traditionals, or 8-3 over-all) has basically the same balance between the traditional and the non: 6 required + 8 elective (14) vs. 2 required and 6 elective (8). Some of the non-traditional Turkish courses---such as Human Ecology, Theories and Programs in MCH/FP Services, Analytical Approaches to Fertility Control, Demography of Health, and Socioeconomic Structure of Turkey---suggest (from their titles as well as available brief course descriptions) considerable sophistication in the post-ICPD sense, and this is more than borne out by the details available on the three elective courses: Population in International Relations (which includes a module on "conflict and population"); Sociological and Psychological Aspects of Family Planning and Fertility (including "husband-wife communication" and "means of mass media"); and Demography of Women, Marriage and the Family (which inter alia examines "reproductive preferences", "intrafamilial relationships", "child socialization", "gender roles", and "measurement of marriage"!). While the Hebrew University of Jerusalem's Department of Demography's MA course is relatively traditional in nature (10-3, traditional to non-traditional), both Aleppo University's (Syria) and the Hebrew University's other MA-level programme are apparently entirely so, with 5 courses each in this category and none in the non-traditional area." 30/

    ASIA AND THE PACIFIC

    It is really unsurprising that a 'region' containing such a large and variegated portion of the world's people should be so diverse in the nature of the population and development training it provides. The wonder is that any trends, within or between individual countries, can be traced. In fact, however, at one end of a regional continuum may be found "a distinct regional 'flavour'... perhaps captured best by the case of the International Institute for Population Studies, or IIPS, in Bombay...(whose) reputation... for being highly formal-demography-oriented and, within that definition, heavily quantitative in its approach, is a valid one ".31/ A number of other institutions, particularly in South Asia (including India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and Nepal) and even, in one case, Southeast Asia (Thailand; Mahidol University); were found, from an investigation of their Diploma- and Masters-level curricula (and even BA offerings, in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, and Pakistan) also to "...demonstrate an almost entirely traditional orientation".32/ Somewhere in the middle fall a number of institutions in India (such as the Jawaharlal University in Delhi, the Sri Venkateswara University, and the Centre for Development Studies) whose curricula are approximately balanced between the traditional and the non-traditional.

    At the other end of this continuum "(m)ost interestingly, it is China that takes the lead as a country, over-all, in the comparative 'modernity' of its course offerings at the Masters level, with Peking University providing an even split between traditional and non-traditional (7-7), Sichuan University's Institute of Population Research inclining in a slightly more traditional direction with 6-3, and the Institute of Population Research, Fudan University, having only one traditional to four non-traditional courses." 33/ As for the rest of Asia, our earlier more impressionistic view that "...(e)lsewhere in Asia, it must suffice to say, there is simply great diversity. In the Philippines and Thailand... there are numerous training programmes both at the undergraduate (particularly in the former) and graduate levels, (and) many curricula contain quite well-developed modules of 'post-ICPD' content, while others are more traditionally oriented...." 34/ was only partially substantiated by the ensuing review of actual curricula. There, we found a perhaps surprising uniformity (with the single exception of one MA course at Mahidol University in Thailand; the other two are heavily non-traditional) in non-traditional/balanced curricula in each of the three countries examined: Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines, all most important contributors to the region's over-all stock of training resources in the population and development field.

    As a consequence, a more accurate regional summary is based on more extensively reviewing actual curricula, which "...appears to confirm popular conceptions of the relative Asian sophistication in the population/development area as well as, within the region, something of a split between the South Asian (more traditional, mathematics/statistics-oriented) and Southeast Asian (more non-traditional) countries being evident."35/ Nevertheless, the conclusions of the earlier analysis as to future curricular needs are also substantiated from the quantitative review. Substantively, more courses are required in such areas as: (c)hild survival/safe motherhood; women's status/gender perspective; health, especially reproductive health; effective public and private sector employment market response, like Business Demography; population/environmental interactions; causes/consequences of population change; and "...(s)ocial and cultural anthropology and ethnography courses which might help to unravel the more dynamic interactions of the fertility/mortality transition as well as people's responses to it. This, so that social policies, IEC and technology might become people-oriented, rather than driven by mere economic development goals."36/ In addition, the scope of this training should be enhanced by emphasizing population education and exposing professionals from other fields to population and development concepts.

    CONCLUSIONS

    While there is certainly very little in our detailed examination of fifty institutions' multi--level curricula to suggest inaccuracy in our original conclusion that "...the population and development field is in a state of real flux, at least in the developing world" 37/, we have found, region by region, with the possible exception of Asia and the Pacific, that "(t)he over-all picture is of domination by the traditional."38/ Significantly, nothing in what we have observed or heard from experts suggests practical guidelines for determining the balance that should be sought between the traditional and the non-traditional, although it is clear that "...in all major regions of the developing world: whatever is done on the curricular scene, the basic, traditional elements of "demographic" and demographic/statistical training must, largely, be added to---not replaced." 39/ Instead, our region by region, country by country analysis bears out a working hypothesis also born of personal experience: much depends on each country's context, and on the tradition of training (or lack of such tradition) that can be found within it. Guidance---if it came from the right place, in terms of acceptance, and were of the right kind--- would probably be welcomed in most countries.

    What also seems clear is that, within an over-all bias towards certain changes which stems from the pronouncements, especially, of the 1994 International Conference on Population and Development, much also should depend on the signals received from the job market in each country. Unfortunately the signals actually being received are currently confused, sporadic, or, because they have yet to be solicited in any methodical fashion, virtually non-existent. This has to be corrected, and in our final section we will discuss an approach to obtaining better and more complete signals.

    In sum, it seems that there are no "authoritatively progressive" or "wholly traditional" countries or regions anywhere, whose experience in meeting the challenges of the new, while preserving the necessary of the old, can be very instructive to others. All countries need some guidance from somewhere, preferably from inside, given the widely different situations in terms of each population's interactions with the development process---historically, and with reference to relevant cultural, social, and economic variables. What appears most desirable is some process by which each country could thoroughly assess what it is doing now, in terms of providing population and development training, and then weigh that against what is demanded of the training system, in both qualitative and quantitative terms.

    RECOMMENDATIONS

    1. Regardless of the care we exercise in recommending procedures for individual countries to decide their own needs in the population and development area, it would be an abuse of judgment not to couch all our recommendations within the context of the 1994 ICPD and its Programme of Action. This far-reaching document is representative of nothing less than the whole world's view of its constituent states' population needs and priorities, and no country can afford to ignore, at the least, the people-oriented spirit that permeates all of its recommendations. As a consequence, our first recommendation is that there is " '...a great need in future to design the demography (/population and development) curricula such that greater emphasis is given to practical population problems that face the world...The new curricula...should...lay more emphasis on the questions of why people behave the way they do, what the implications (social economic and cultural) of their actions are, and how the problems attendant upon such actions could be tackled'."(emphasis supplied).

    2. What, then, is any individual country to do? What steps can we recommend to ensure that its population and development training will be maximally responsive to its needs, both public and private? Here, we believe some version of the so-called "Uganda Approach", followed in that African country during the single year 1995-1996, and which can be translated into the following key steps, is warranted 40/:

    a. First, assemble a small team---preferably no more than 2 persons---to investigate all relevant people/groups in the country to obtain precise views on what is (and is not) needed from the training that is currently being provided. (While in Uganda one member of this team was a United Nations Expert, there should be no compelling need in the future, with the Ugandan experience to draw on---and it has been very well documented---to seek long-term assistance from outside the country. Both members in that case trained were trained as demographers/population and development specialists and university teachers, and we would recommend similar backgrounds for others in the future, since ultimately the "demand" data need to be translated into new courses and/or course modifications, and a thorough knowledge of the relevant academic possibilities and constraints are required at this stage.)

    The idea here is to get as precise as possible a fix on the kinds of skills that are required from graduates of the training programme(s), and the nature of the jobs they will be required to do. In order to obtain comprehensive coverage, in this important baseline investigation of "effective market demand", the following groups should be included:

    i. Governmental, at all relevant levels. In Uganda, this meant not only persons at the central Population Secretariat, as well as other relevant Ministries/Departments (such as Health, Statistics, Planning etc.), but also in the District Population Offices which, under the new National Population Policy, have assumed great importance in that country in implementing actual population programmes. We recommend that similarly comprehensive coverage be provided in other countries to ensure obtaining the views of all relevant staff, and thus the desired skill profiles and training backgrounds of all such staff in the future.

    ii. The private sector. Here, actual and potential employers in the NGO as well as the commercial sector should be interviewed.

    iii. Graduates of all present training programmes. In Uganda, given that there is really only one such programme and that it is of relatively recent vintage, a separate sub-project, resulting in virtually total coverage of all graduates and their post-graduation experiences and views regarding the training they had received, was possible. In other places, it may be necessary to interview only fairly recent graduates, possibly on a less-than-comprehensive basis. In either case, the goal is to determine where each graduate is working, has worked, and is doing what---and what s/he thinks needs more or less emphasis in the curriculum that provided him/her the skills (or in some measure, failed to) needed for the actual job market encountered.

    iv. University staff involved in providing present-day population and development training in the country. The goal here would be to determine what is being taught as well as, from the viewpoint of these experienced professional within the discipline itself, why---and what they would change if they could.

    This is perhaps the place to emphasize that this entire process of 'updating' curricula does not necessarily imply that great changes in present offerings need to be made, even in countries where there is a predominantly traditional curriculum in place. The point touched on earlier, that there should be little or no discarding of traditional "tools of the trade" in the process of introducing new emphases and, occasionally, whole new areas of consideration, remains valid. While it cannot be demonstrated here, it is highly unlikely that any curriculum will require the full introduction of more than one or two courses wholly de novo, and most changes will be made by introducing new concepts, some new material and, as a consequence, a new and correspondingly non-traditional course title. In many cases, only such additions and up-dates will be necessary, almost at the margin of over-all course content---but still critical in ensuring that what is being taught is up-to-date and in tune both with the world consensus, at a general level, and actual needs, at the level of the individual society.

    b. In Uganda, the next steps were for the team to prepare, based on digestion of the above data

    A revised suggested curriculum;

    A broad-based agenda of necessary research; and

    A proposal for a National Centre for Population and Health Research.

    Others elsewhere may also wish to use the data accumulated up to this stage for the latter two purposes, but we would recommend an intervening step, described immediately below, which is particularly relevant to preparation of the revised curriculum suggestions.

    c. There are considerations that extend beyond even the detailed specification of curricular changes proposed in the Ugandan case. These concern the "who" and "how" questions relating to new courses and/or courses with new emphases, covering new material. Put most simply: who is going to construct courses that are both technically sound as to theory and approach and also based, to the maximum possible extent, on local data? And directly related to this question, what is/are the country's existing training institution's(') capacities, in terms of qualified teaching staff, to assure that this is done? What supplemental training, if any, will be required, and for whom, in each "new" area of the revised curriculum? Are there regional/subregional institutions (including the UNFPA's interdisciplinary Country Support Teams) equipped and willing to provide this training? If not, what will it take to "train the trainers", assuming always that this will prove cost-effective because other countries in the region/subregion will have similar needs? In the meantime, where else can such training be obtained, and who will pay the costs of travel, tuition, and support?

    These are serious questions to contend with before the idea of serious curricular reform can proceed much further, or ever be embarked on in the first place. It is one thing to provide a course title or even its generalized contents; it is quite another to have the needed personal knowledge and experience, as well as capacity to assemble the materials required, to actually teach it.

    d. Assuming that all of these questions have been answered satisfactorily, and that a new curriculum is actually being taught, there is still a final question to be raised. How can the assessment process be made dynamic, rather than a one-time cross-sectional view? One way is to establish a body such as the Advisory Committee of the Cairo Demographic Center (CDC) which would meet regularly (in the CDC case, every two years) to assess the curriculum and recommend changes that reflect changing needs. At the CDC, this body has been composed, in the past, of representatives from developing countries sending students to the Center, as well as selected representatives of United Nations and other relevant agencies, with an occasional recognized world authority added. Usually, however, the selection is limited to academics; in our case, it might be useful to select representatives from the academic, public, and private (NGO and commercial) sectors.

    Alternatively, a periodic sub-sample of the original groups assessed, with perhaps some additions from the most recent cohorts in each major area, could be performed at relatively low cost, or the sample approach could be employed to provide first estimations for refinement by the other group of "sector" representatives suggested above.

    CONCLUDING REMARKS

    In conclusion, the case we have tried to make is that the results of both qualitative and quantitative assessment, globally if not documented in each and every country concerned, show that while there is definitely some change to be seen in the teaching of population and development, change that reflects to a certain extent the new priorities that have recently emerged in the field, that change is not enough. No country can afford to continue the status quo without checking methodically to see if that is justified by current needs, and we have suggested the possible elements of a strategy to perform such a check and even to repeat it periodically, to ensure continuing relevance of the curricula concerned. Beyond this, there are issues of resource allocation, as well as regional/subregional strategies for responding to the demand for new teaching which we anticipate everywhere. Most of all, there are issues that individual countries will doubtless discover and endeavor to resolve themselves. These we cannot deal with; we can only trust that our investigations have contributed to a better understanding of the need for action in this important area of human resource development.

    Footnotes

    1/ Curriculum Needs: Perspectives from Developing Countries"; UN/DESIPA/UNFPA/Population Division Technical Support Services Report; C. Stephen Baldwin; June, 1996; p. 3
    2/ Curriculum Needs: Perspectives from Developing Countries"; UN/DESIPA/UNFPA/Population Division Technical Support Services Report; C. Stephen Baldwin; June, 1996; p. 3
    3/ "Curriculum Needs....", p. 4
    4/ Curriculum Needs....", p. 4
    5/ Curriculum Needs....", p. 4
    6/ Ibid; p. 6
    7/ Curriculum Needs....", p. 5
    8/ Ibid
    9/ Ibid; p. 7
    10/ Ibid
    11/ Ibid; p. 8
    12/ Ibid; pp. 10-11
    13/ "Population and Development...."; p. 7
    14/ "Curriculum Needs...."; p. 16
    15/ Ibid; p. 15
    16/ Ibid;
    17/ Ibid; p. 14.
    18/ Ibid
    19/ Ibid; p. 15
    20/ Ibid; p.
    21/ Ibid; p. 21.
    22/ Ibid; p. 16
    23/ Ibid; p. 17.
    24/ "Population and Development...."; p. 8
    25/ "Curriculum Needs...."; p. 22
    26/ Ibid; p. 23
    27/ Population and Development...."; p. 11
    28/ "Curriculum Needs...."; p. 23
    29/ Ibid
    30/ "Population and Development...."; pp. 11-12
    31/ "Curriculum Needs...."; p. 24
    32/ "Population and Development...."; p. 12
    33/ Ibid; p. 13
    34/ "Curriculum Needs...."; p. 29
    35/ "Population and Development...."; p. 13
    36/ "Curriculum Needs...."; p. 30
    37/ Ibid; p. 31
    38/ "Population and Development...."; p. 18
    39/ "Curriculum Needs...."; p. 34
    40/ A separate paper on this subject, published as a TSS document, was released by the author earlier this year, and is entitled "The 'Uganda Approach' Made Easy: A Universal Guide to Assessing Current Population and Development Training Needs." Copies are available from the author on request.