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Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division |
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Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division |
| Preparing Migration Data for Subnational Population Projections |
Available in English only
Reviews the different types of data generally available for estimating internal migration in the developing countries, delineates the methods for transforming different types of data into the form necessary for subnational population projections, discusses the formulation of migration assumptions and compares the advantages and disadvantages of different data sources and methods for preparing migration input for subnational projections.
| MORTPAK and MORTPAK-LITE Upgrades: Version 3.0 of the United Nations Software Packages for Mortality Measurement. |
Available in English only
This an upgraded manual for MORTPAK and MORTPAK-LITE software packages for demographic measurement. It is a supplement to the already published MORTPAK and MORTPAK-LITE manuals and must be used in conjunction with them. Version 3.0 of the software packages incorporates an additional demographic application (for under-taking single-year population projections) and offers a number of interface enhancements to make the programs easier to use.
| MORTPAK-LITE: The United Nations Software Package for Mortality Measurement. Interactive Software for the IBM-PC and Compatibles |
Available in English only
Is the working manual for MORTPAK-LITE, a software package for demographic measurement in the developing countries, with special emphasis on mortality measurement. MORTPAK-LITE includes 16 applications in the areas of life-table and stable-population construction, graduation of mortality data, indirect mortality estimation, indirect fertility estimation and other indirect procedures for evaluating age distributions and the completeness of censuses. The package incorporates recently developed techniques that take advantage of the United Nations model life-tables and generalized stable population equations. MORTPAK-LITE features an interactive, user-friendly interface designed for microcomputer users. The cost of the software package, including the manuals, is $130.00. Unless otherwise requested, the software is made available on 3.5" double-sided, double-density MS-DOS diskette with 720K, suited for use on IBM PC-XT and compatible computers.
| MORTPAK: The United Nations Software Package for Mortality Measurement. Batch-oriented Software for the Main frame Computer |
Available in English only
Is the working manual for MORTPAK, a batch-oriented, mainframe software package for demographic measurement in the developing countries, with special emphasis on mortality measurement. MORTPAK includes 16 applications in the areas of life-table and stable-population construction, graduation of mortality data, indirect mortality estimation, indirect fertility estimation and other indirect procedures for evaluating age distributions and the completeness of censuses. The package incorporates developed techniques that take advantage of the United Nations model life-tables and generalized stable-population equations. It contains a batch-oriented interface which is designed for mainframe computer users but which nevertheless is easily installed on a microcomputer.
The cost of the package is $130.00 per copy, including this manual. Unless otherwise requested, the software package is provided on an IBM standard label tape, 1600 BPI.
| Projection Methods for Integrating Population Variables into Development Planning. (Three Modules) |
Module One: Conceptual Issues and Methods for Preparing Demographic Projections
(ST/ESA/SER.R/90).
255 pp. Non-sales publication (1989).
Module Two: Methods for Preparing School Enrolment, Labour Force and Employment Projections
(ST/ESA/SER.R/90/Add.1). 471 pp.
Non-sales publication (1990)
Module Three: Techniques for Preparing Projections of Household and Other Incomes, Household Consumption and Savings and Government Consumption and Investment
(ST/ESA/SER.R/90/Add.2). 446 pp.
Non-sales publication (1993).
Available in English only
Is intended for the use of development planners in preparing selected demographic and socio-economic projections useful in drafting overall or sectoral development plans. The methods presented will enable planners to prepare a series of interrelated projections relevant to comprehensive planning that are capable of taking into account certain key linkages between demographic processes and socio-economic change.
| Step-by-step Guide to the Estimation of Child Mortality |
Available in English only
Presents a self-contained detailed explanation of the typical measures of mortality in childhood and the main indirect methods to derive them. Although the Guide is simpler and less comprehensive than other manuals covering similar topics, it does not sacrifice substance to simplification and thus provides a solid basis for understanding all the intricacies of the methods available. It is thus useful both for the demographer wishing to master those methods and for the non-demographer whose aim is to become familiar with their main traits.
The Guide is accompanied by a microcomputer program, QFIVE, which applies the Brass-type methods as described in it.
| Manual X. Indirect Techniques for Demographic Estimation |
Available in English and French; Spanish version is out of print.
Is intended to serve as a tool for those wishing to learn how to perform indirect demographic estimation, and as a handbook for the experienced demographer who needs a guide to the application of a variety of demographic estimation techniques. Each of the techniques presented is based on a more or less simplified model of reality, whereby "model" is meant a set of mathematical relations between relevant demographic variables. Some understanding of the model underlying each technique is essential for its adequate use, and to understand a model is have a clear idea of the hypotheses or assumptions on which it is based. In describing each technique in the Manual, the assumptions on which its underlying model is based are always emphasized.
The strategy followed in producing the Manual has been to describe in the simplest possible way the assumptions and, if necessary, the actual models on which each technique is based; and to provide the reader with a detailed description of the actual application of each method. The organization of each section describing a technique consists usually of four subsections. The introductory portion describes the basis of the method and its rationale; the second lists the data required for its application; the third describes, in general terms, how the method is applied; and the fourth is an example of its application to an actual data set. Both the subsection describing the computational procedure and that corresponding to the detailed examples are divided into different and clearly labelled steps.
| Manual IX. The Methodology of Measuring the Impact of Family Planning Programmes on Fertility |
Addendum (ST/ESA/SER.A/66/Add.1). 38 pp. $8.00. Sales No. E.86.XIII.4.
Available in English, French and Spanish.
Is intended as a guide by which middle-level
professionals may assess the impact of family
planning programmes on fertility. Its further
purposes are to assist programme directors in
improving management through better evaluation; to
present in a single volume a complete
methodological statement on the currently used
evaluation tools, so that individuals engaged in
family planning programme evaluation research may
have a handy reference; and to provide material for
teaching and training courses in the methodology
commonly applied in this field. The Manual offers
illustrations and principles designed
to assist researchers who have competence in
mathematics and statistics to apply the accepted
methods of evaluation and offers suggestions as to
how the results of evaluation obtained by each
method should be interpreted.
The Manual is to serve as an aid in the use of the
following methods that have been advanced by
various scholars as being appropriate tools for
assessing family planning programme impact on
fertility:
| (a) | standardization approach |
| (b) | standard couple-years of protection |
| (c) | component projection approach (computerized model and model for desk calculators) |
| (d) | analysis of reproductive process |
| (e) | multivariate areal analysis |
| (f) | simulation |
| (g) | experimental designs, and |
| (h) | fertility projection/trend analysis. |
The Addendum to Manual IX presents two new methods of family planning programme evaluation and provides a number of guidelines for the application of specific techniques presented in the Manual. In addition, a glossary has been included to clarify the terminology often utilized in the field of family planning programme evaluation.
| PDPM/PC: Population and Development Projection Methods for Microcomputers: A User's Guide |
Available in English only
Is the user's manual for PDPM/PC software.
