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DPI/NGO Briefing
Climate Change
In Observance of World Environment Day (5 June)
7 June 2007
Summary
The briefing this week looked at the various aspects
of Climate Change, including the recently released 4th assessment
report published by the Intergovernmental Panel on this subject
(IPCC). The IPCC was originally initiated by the United Nations
Environmental Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organization
(WMO) in 1988 to enhance current understandings of “human
induced climate change” along with its potential impacts,
mitigation, and adaptation. Ms. Joan Eamer, Manager,
Polar Programme at UNEP/GRID-Arendal in Norway (via videoconference),
Mr. Alistair Fernie, Counsellor, Permanent Mission
of the United Kingdom to the United Nations, Dr. Alan Robock,
Professor II, Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University
discussed the IPCC reports along with the launch of a new UNEP publication
on the polar and glacier regions---“Global Outlook for Snow
and Ice” as well as the recent, unprecedented Security Council
session on threats to our environment.
Ms. Joan Eamer commenced the discussion by
explaining the UNEP publication Global Ice and Snow, which was the
product of five months of peer reviewed work of seventy to eighty
contributors, including the leading authors of the IPCC reports.
She discussed the contents of the book and outlined the most prevalent
issues involving snow and ice from both a regional and global perspective,
including their influence on resources, biodiversity, weather patterns,
and sea level fluctuations. Ms. Eamer also projected a major reduction
in snow and ice, which will cause the earth to absorb more heat
from the sun, increase temperatures, and affect seasonality and
ecosystems around the globe. According to Ms. Eamer, that process
endangered biodiversity and might have devastating effects upon
specific species that inhabited cold and icy environments, such
as reindeer and caribou in the artic which would experience more
difficulty in accessing food through additional layers of ice. Other
animals dependent upon the sea such as algae, birds, and polar bears
were also in danger as sea ice was disappearing at an inexorable
rate of 9 percent per decade, explained Ms. Eamer. She further underlined
the adverse effects of climate change and global warming on glaciers,
pointing to the Fedchenko Glacier in Tajikistan, which served as
a water source for domestic and agricultural uses and had been reduced
in height by 50 meters since 1980. Ms. Eamer predicted that the
Artic Ocean would be “ice free” by the summer of 2100.
Although current damage was irreversible, Ms. Eamer emphasized that
it was crucial to adopt more sustainable lifestyles and climate
conscious policies, especially emergency response plans and construction
designs, in order to prevent future damage and reverse the ongoing
process of environmental devastation. In conclusion, Ms. Eamer stressed
the need to resolve the current myriad of uncertainties surrounding
climate change through models and further research.
Dr. Alan Robock concentrated his presentation
on his research published in the IPCC reports, which suggested that
human behavior had directly contributed to the climate change phenomenon
with 90 percent certainty. He emphasized that the IPCC reports had
made great advancements in our understanding of the climate change
issue. According to Dr. Robock, global temperatures were reportedly
the warmest in 2005 when compared to temperature patterns documented
over the past 125 years. He raised three main questions, including
how climate change would impact the future, how it would affect
human beings, and what we should do about it. While addressing the
first two questions, Dr. Robock stated that the planet was undergoing
a considerable phase of warming, which would produce winners and
losers in the short term but everyone would lose in the long term.
However, he identified the third question as the most difficult
since it was normative and values-based. From a scientist’s
perspective, Dr. Robock called for the adoption of preventative
measures to inhibit and mitigate climate change. He identified carbon
emissions as a major cause of global warming and weather changes,
and projected major transformations in weather and precipitation
patterns, stating that “a cold day in 2050 will be much warmer
than a cold day now.” According to Dr. Robock, we are rapidly
approaching the maximum ceiling of carbon emissions, which he calculated
to be 450 ppm. He concluded by revealing the mortality rates already
resulting from heat waves in Europe and emphasizing the potential
of the Framework Convention on Climate Change.
Mr. Alistair Fernie offered a political perspective
on climate change and began by describing it as an issue that required
“pessimism of intellect and optimism of will.” He explained
that the United Kingdom had always been environmentally aware and
remained a major advocate of the UNFCCC, and emphasized that climate
change should be addressed in every area of the UN from the Security
Council to the General Assembly to the Economic and Social Council.
According to Mr. Fernie, the issue of climate change was raised
and debated in the Security Council during the UK presidency despite
opposition from countries such as China and the United States. He
described climate change as being inextricably linked to security
and economic issues. Mr. Fernie explained that the UK also placed
climate change as one of the two top agenda items alongside Africa
during the G8 Summit in Gleneagles in 2005. He emphasized that in
order to combat climate change, scientific evidence must be validated
and certain as the IPCC reports demonstrated, public opinion must
be informed and aware of the environmental issues, and a different
set of policymakers and experts needed to be engaged instead of
only Environmental ministers and specialists that had been traditionally
expected to deal with the issue in the past. Mr. Fernie emphatically
repeated Sir Nicholas Stern’s message that the costs of action
on climate change outweighed the cost of inaction and cited his
statistics that the former would cost only 1 percent of GDP, while
the latter would require five to twenty percent. He also highlighted
the security impact of climate change, explaining that it threatened
international peace by exacerbating risk factors that have the potential
of driving conflicts. In conclusion Mr. Fernie underscored the need
for international cooperation over this issue and emphasized the
influential role that civil society could play in prompting governments
to participate in an international convention.
During the question and answer period, Mr. Fernie
revealed the potential effectiveness of public-private partnerships
and engaging businesses in the fight against climate change alongside
government, and stated, “climate change requires both government
and private sector solutions”. Dr. Robock also revealed that
funding for scientific research was highly dependent upon politics
and the current governments’ willingness to confront the evidence
produced by such studies.
A special presentation “Cool Globes:
Hot Ideas for a Cooler Planet” was delivered by Yvonne
Acosta, Chief, Academic Partnerships Unit, Academic Initiative Section,
Outreach Division, DPI, from 10:00 a.m. – 10:15 a.m. “Cool
Globes: Hot Ideas for a Cooler Planet” is an innovative project
that uses the medium of public art to inspire individuals and organizations
to take action against global warming. The project is the brainchild
of a mother of four, Wendy Abrams, who was concerned about the future
of the planet that her children will inherit.
A video of compelling short documentaries on "green"
subjects, produced by the United Nations was subsequently screened
at 10:15 a.m.
Approximately 150 NGO representatives attended the
meeting.
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