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The United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (ECA) urged
African countries to move away from "one-size-fits-all"
macroeconomic models and towards more flexible policies to
create greater diversity, develop a wider range of goods and
adjust policies to individual countries. The recommendations
were made in the Commission's annual economic report on the
region.
Released on 3 April 2007, the report entitled "Accelerating
Africa's Development through Diversification" called
on the continent "to adopt less conservative fiscal policies,
including cheaper credit, to promote more investment by the
private sector". It also urged countries of the region
to embark on a more systematic economic effort at diversifying
its economy and to their vulnerability to commodity export
prices.
"African economies have sustained the "growth momentum"
of the past years, increasing at 5.2 per cent in 2005, up
to 5.6 per cent last year and an estimated 5.8 per cent in
growth is expected in 2007", said Ejeviome Eloho Otobo,
former ECA officer and currently Director of Strategic Planning
in the Peacebuilding Support Office. Countries like Tunisia
and Mauritius in particular have registered growth rates of
5.5 per cent and 4.4 per cent per year from 1981 to 2000,
respectively, he said. On average, the growth in oil-exporting
countries was 1 per cent higher than in their non-oil-exporting
counterparts. Meanwhile, the economy in countries like the
Côte d'Ivoire and the Seychelles has significantly declined
in recent years. In the case of Zimbabwe, the economy continues
to decline, to minus 4 per cent in 2006.
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Over the past decades, African countries have relied on macroeconomic
stability by "accelerating the privatization of State enterprises,
developing the private sector, promoting experts and increasing
domestic competition", said Mr. Otobo. And, even though
some of these measures have fallen short, both ECA and the Commission
of the African Union suggest that countries "not break
with old programmes" but pursue more "pro-active policies
to develop different industrial sectors, move away from primary
resources and increase financing for research and development,
to encourage innovation and increase productivity". Such
policies may vary across countries because they need to have
"specific objectives and have to be based on analyses that
identify key country-specific constraints and priorities".
Pointing to the example of Southeast Asian countries that have
invested double in their economies, compared to their African
counterparts in the recent years, the report states that, on
average, "an African country needs national investments
equal to 12.5 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) to reach
the turning point where diversification occurs". Therefore,
African Governments should commit more of their national incomes
to investment to broaden their range of products.
In the report, ECA also recommends that African countries should
be analyzed according to their political stability--whether
they have been involved in conflict or are experiencing political
tension. Therefore, the study proposes that Governments in Africa
invest in peacebuilding and peace-promoting institutions that
can proactively deal with the threats of conflict and a post-conflict
environment, for example in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
Mr. Otobo pointed out that new and more flexible growth policies
are required and that economic reform must include the battle
against corruption. |