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Worldwide attention on the The Stern Review on the Economics
of Climate Change has gone "beyond the wildest expectations"
of the Government of the United Kingdom, which commissioned
the document, said Alistair Fernie, Counselor at the Permanent
Mission of the United Kingdom to the United Nations. Speaking
in a packed conference room at an event organized by the Non-Governmental
Organization (NGO) Committee on Sustainable Development at
UN Headquarters in New York on 18 January, Mr. Fernie outlined
the Review and its implications for the future.
The Stern Review concludes that the benefits of strong
and early action to stop global warming far outweigh the economic
costs of not acting. Compiled by Sir Nicholas Stern and released
on 30 October 2006, it is one of the first major government-sponsored
reports on global warming conducted by an economist rather
than an atmospheric scientist. "Hundreds of millions
of people could suffer from hunger, water shortages and coastal
flooding as the world warms", says the report, explaining
that inaction on climate change could lead to a loss equivalent
to between 5 and 20 per cent of global gross domestic product
(GDP), versus a 1 per cent of global GDP cost to take actions
that mitigate the worst impacts of climate change. The report
argues that reducing emissions "can be done in a way
that does not cap the aspirations for growth of rich or poor
countries" and presents significant business opportunities
for "low-carbon" technologies, goods and services.
Among other measures, the report advocates for the implementation
of renewable energy sources, the transfer of environmentally-friendly
technologies to developing countries, and initiatives to reduce
deforestation, which contributes more to global emissions
each year than the transport sector.
The report was commissioned in order to show that climate
change is not purely an environmental issue, said Mr. Fernie,
pointing out that "the economic analysis made the issue
more palatable to a wider audience". The issue of climate
change gained traction thanks to "active, strategically
savvy" NGOs that were able to effectively communicate
their message to the public. "Twenty years ago, when
I volunteered with a group called 'Friends of the Earth',
my friends asked me what I was doing with a bunch of long-haired
hippies." He said that climate change has become mainstream
political issue, and that in the United Kingdom, politicians
now "try to 'outgreen' each other. The climate change
constituency has reached a critical mass where a politician
has to show a position of hurrying along urgent action, not
only at home, but abroad as well".
Regarding the climate change agenda at the United Nations,
Mr. Fernie pointed out that Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon
had publicly made it a top priority. The topic is currently
not on the agenda of the Security Council, he said, because
States do not perceive the issue to "present a substantial
threat to international peace and security", but he suggested
global warming might be considered in that body in the future.
Mr. Fernie said that progress on the climate change agenda
in the United States could be led by State Governments or
the private sector. The United States has not joined the Kyoto
Protocol, an international treaty to reduce global greenhouse
gas emissions that has been ratified by 166 countries. "Insurance
companies are absolutely terrified of the effects of climate
change, such as increasing storms and coastal floods",
he said, mentioning that large United States-based firms,
such as the investment company Goldman Sachs, were becoming
involved in the effort to stop global warming.
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