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CONFRONTING 'THE SOFT BIGOTRY OF LOW EXPECTATIONS'

By: Ramesh Thakur

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A decade can seem like an eternity in international politics. The world has witnessed many profound changes in the ten years that Kofi Annan led the United Nations as its Secretary-General (from 1997 to 2006). The world body may not be perfect, but there are many good people who love the United Nations and are devoted to it. I fervently believe that the world is a better place because of the United Nations and what it does and how it works.

Sometimes the number of trees can crowd out the view of the forest as a whole. At any given time, the challenges that confront us on a daily basis are so enormous, so grave and overpowering, that we tend to overlook the gains and progress that accumulate over time. It was useful to be reminded of this through the inaugural Human Security Report 2005, which exploded the widely believed myths about wars, deaths caused
by conflicts, genocide, terrorism and the United Nations effectiveness.

The number of armed conflicts rose steadily until the end of the cold war and peaked in the early 1990s, but has declined since then. Genocides, international crises, military coups and human rights abuses are down as well. The nature of armed conflicts has also changed; although often brutal, today's wars typically kill fewer people. There has also been a shift in where wars are being fought. More people are being killed in Africa's wars today than in the rest of the world combined. Moreover, violent conflicts in the continent exacerbated the very conditions that gave rise to them in the first place, creating a classic "conflict trap" from which escape is difficult.

The United Nations has played a critical role in driving positive changes. UN efforts manifoldly increased to stop wars from starting (preventive diplomacy), end ongoing conflicts (peacemaking), establish peace operations (peacekeeping) and impose sanctions (which can help pressure warring parties into peace negotiations). Similarly, an earlier study undertaken by the United States-based Rand Corporation comparing United Nations and United States operations also held encouraging news for those within the Organization. Not surprisingly, the United Nations is better at low-profile, small footprint operations, where soft-power assets of international legitimacy and political impartiality compensate for a hard-power deficit. Between them, the two sets of studies document a surprising adaptability on the part of the United Nations with regard to policy innovation and operational success, to cope with a fast-changing world. They contradict the prevailing pessimism about the state of the world and cynicism about the UN performance. This should lead neither to complacency about the number and gravity of the problems that remain to be addressed nor about challenges still confronting the Organization.

However, it is easy to fall into the trap of attributing problems to short-term differences of interests or clash of personalities. There are some significant underlying changes that contribute to its collective difficulties. The very strength of the United Nations-the common meeting house of all the world's countries-is a major source of weakness with respect to efficient decision-making. We know that many of the most intractable problems are global in scope and will most likely require concerted multilateral action that is also global in its reach. But the policy authority and the competence to mobilize the resources needed for tackling the problems remain vested in Member States. This strategic disconnect explains to a certain extent the recurrent difficulties facing the United Nations on many fronts and the oftentimes fitful nature of its responses.

A central challenge that Kofi Annan was not able to meet successfully in every instance, and which will continue to confront his successor, is how to combine the unique legitimacy and international authority of the United Nations with the global reach and power of the United States. Some American commentators rightly pose the question of why the United States should submit voluntarily to "Gulliverization", tied down by innumerable threads of international treaty and normative restraints, especially but not solely with respect to the use of force overseas. Have the structures and procedures of multilateral forums become dangerously detached from the underlying distribution of power? Even if that were to be true to some extent, events during the past year have demonstrated conclusively that the diplomatic transaction costs of a complete withdrawal from multilateral forums, even for the United States, will be a very high price to pay.

At the same time, the volatility and turbulence that swept through the United Nations was a sobering reminder that laws and norms, and the institutions and organizations in which they are embedded, are not ends in themselves but instruments to a better ordering of the world. Should they fail in this overarching goal, their members will look to alternatives.
This was the rationale behind Mr. Annan's efforts to identify normative policy and structural reforms that Member States might wish to consider to improve the performance, strengthen the effectiveness and enhance the legitimacy of the Organization. While the changes that were agreed upon were not to everyone's expectations, he noted that from one point of view the glass is at least half full. Over the past ten years, the United Nations has evolved into a much more friendly world body towards civil society organizations and private-sector firms. It must remain hospitable to partnerships with these vital actors in driving desirable changes and delivering growth, services and security in the field.

With the decline in inter-State wars, the primary responsibility for maintaining international peace and security in practice translates into tackling internal armed conflicts. To the extent that civilians now comprise an overwhelming number of conflict-related casualties, their protection will determine the credibility of the UN peace and security mandate. The global community has made significant progress in criminalizing atrocity crimes and enhancing the prospects of holding perpetrators internationally accountable through International Criminal Court. Consequently, the confidence of sovereign impunity that these perpetrators once enjoyed has softened, if not entirely disappeared.

During the historic 2005 World Summit at UN Headquarters in New York, world leaders endorsed the new norm of "responsibility to protect". This too has captured the convergence of some significant trends in world affairs. Previously, there were few restrictions on the right of States as sovereign actors to use force either within or across borders. A hundred years ago, war was an accepted institution of the sovereign States system with distinctive rules, etiquette, norms and stable patterns of practices. Now there are significant restrictions on the authority of States to use force either domestically or internationally.

Understanding and appreciation of human rights, as well as commitment to their promotion and protection, have deepened. The vocabulary of democracy, good governance and human rights has steadily advanced to become the language of choice in international discourse. Some of the great champions of the human rights and humanitarian law movements were such exceptional individuals like Raphael Lemkin, who helped to bring into being the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide, Peter Benenson, who founded Amnesty International, and Jean Henri Dunant, who started the International Committee of the Red Cross. Their examples powerfully demonstrate that the universal principle of human rights is the recognition that every human being is deserving of equal moral consideration. It is an acceptance of a sense of duty by those ensconced in safety to care for those in zones of danger. We are indeed our brothers'-and sisters'-keepers around the world. The normative mandates of the United Nations on security, development and human rights alike embody this moral obligation.

The international community has also adopted new standards of state conduct in the protection and advancement of international human rights. Over time, the chief threats to international security have come from violent eruptions of crises within States, including civil wars, while the goals of promoting human rights and democratic governance, protecting civilian victims of humanitarian atrocities and punishing governmental perpetrators of mass crimes have become more important. As a major consequence of the changing nature of armed conflict and its victims, from soldiers to non-combatant civilians, including excess deaths caused by conflict-related diseases and starvation, the need for clarity, consistency and reliability in the use of armed force for civilian protection lies at the heart of the UN credibility in the maintenance of peace and security.

The newly-established UN Peacebuilding Commission will help to fill a critical gap in the institutional architecture for maintaining international peace and security. The momentum generated by the historic, favourable changes in arms control and disarmament after the end of the cold war was allowed to lapse. The consequences of not having seized the moment to make deeper and irreversible rollbacks in light weapons and small arms, as well as in weapons of mass destruction, are being felt once again in different parts of the world.

In sum, the record of the United Nations shows an under-appreciated capacity for policy innovation, conceptual advances, institutional adaptation and organizational learning. We have seen this over the last ten years with respect to peacekeeping and peace operations, human security and human rights, atrocity crimes and international criminal justice, sanctions and the use of force and, what Mr. Annan described as particularly precious to him, the responsibility to protect innocent civilians caught in the crossfire and victims of atrocity crimes.

Some have argued that the Charter of the United Nations was written in another age for another world. Yet for many, it is a living and breathing document that remains vitally relevant today. It is the framework within which the scattered and divided fragments of humanity come together to look for solutions. We must never fall victim to the soft bigotry of low expectations. Rather, we must always hold the United Nations to the more exacting standards of exalted expectations.
Biography
Ramesh Thakur is Senior Vice Rector of the United Nations University (UNU), based in Tokyo, Japan. His most recent book is The United Nations, Peace and Security: From Collective Security to the Responsibility to Protect (Cambridge University Press, 2006).
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